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Predicting Soccer Players' Fitness Status Through a Machine-Learning Approach.

Title: Predicting Soccer Players' Fitness Status Through a Machine-Learning Approach.
Authors: Mandorino, Mauro; Clubb, Jo; Lacome, Mathieu
Source: International Journal of Sports Physiology & Performance; May2024, Vol. 19 Issue 5, p443-453, 11p
Subject Terms: SPORTS injury prevention; EXERCISE physiology; STATISTICAL correlation; SOCCER; RUNNING; INDUSTRIAL psychology; PHYSICAL training & conditioning; EXERCISE intensity; DESCRIPTIVE statistics; HEART beat; PHYSICAL fitness; RESEARCH; MACHINE learning; EXERCISE tests; REGRESSION analysis; ALGORITHMS
Geographic Terms: ITALY
Abstract: Purpose: The study had 3 purposes: (1) to develop an index using machine-learning techniques to predict the fitness status of soccer players, (2) to explore the index's validity and its relationship with a submaximal run test (SMFT), and (3) to analyze the impact of weekly training load on the index and SMFT outcomes. Methods: The study involved 50 players from an Italian professional soccer club. External and internal loads were collected during training sessions. Various machine-learning algorithms were assessed for their ability to predict heart-rate responses during the training drills based on external load data. The fitness index, calculated as the difference between actual and predicted heart rates, was correlated with SMFT outcomes. Results: Random forest regression (mean absolute error = 3.8 [0.05]) outperformed the other machine-learning algorithms (extreme gradient boosting and linear regression). Average speed, minutes from the start of the training session, and the work:rest ratio were identified as the most important features. The fitness index displayed a very large correlation (r =.70) with SMFT outcomes, with the highest result observed during possession games and physical conditioning exercises. The study revealed that heart-rate responses from SMFT and the fitness index could diverge throughout the season, suggesting different aspects of fitness. Conclusions: This study introduces an "invisible monitoring" approach to assess soccer player fitness in the training environment. The developed fitness index, in conjunction with traditional fitness tests, provides a comprehensive understanding of player readiness. This research paves the way for practical applications in soccer, enabling personalized training adjustments and injury prevention. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
: Copyright of International Journal of Sports Physiology & Performance is the property of Human Kinetics Publishers, Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: Complementary Index