Priorities, opportunities, and challenges for integrating microorganisms into Earth system models for climate change prediction.
| Title: | Priorities, opportunities, and challenges for integrating microorganisms into Earth system models for climate change prediction. |
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| Authors: | Lennon JT; Department of Biology, Indiana University, Bloomington, Indiana, USA.; Abramoff RZ; Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, USA.; Ronin Institute, Montclair, New Jersey, USA.; Allison SD; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Irvine, Irvine, California, USA.; Department of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine, Irvine, California, USA.; Burckhardt RM; American Society for Microbiology, Washington, DC, USA.; DeAngelis KM; Department of Microbiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Massachusetts, USA.; Dunne JP; NOAA/OAR Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.; Frey SD; Department of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of New Hampshire, Durham, New Hampshire, USA.; Friedlingstein P; College of Engineering, Mathematics, and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom.; Hawkes CV; Department of Plant and Microbial Biology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, USA.; Hungate BA; Department of Biological Sciences, Center for Ecosystem Science, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, Arizona, USA.; Khurana S; Department of Physical Geography, Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.; Kivlin SN; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee, USA.; Levine NM; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.; Manzoni S; Department of Physical Geography, Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.; Martiny AC; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Irvine, Irvine, California, USA.; Martiny JBH; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Irvine, Irvine, California, USA.; Nguyen NK; American Society for Microbiology, Washington, DC, USA.; Rawat M; National Science Foundation, Washington, DC, USA.; Talmy D; Department of Microbiology, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee, USA.; Todd-Brown K; Department of Environmental Engineering Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.; Vogt M; Institute for Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.; Wieder WR; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA.; Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA.; Zakem EJ; Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, California, USA. |
| Source: | MBio [mBio] 2024 May 08; Vol. 15 (5), pp. e0045524. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Mar 25. |
| Publication Type: | Journal Article; Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't |
| Language: | English |
| Journal Info: | Publisher: American Society for Microbiology Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 101519231 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2150-7511 (Electronic) NLM ISO Abbreviation: mBio Subsets: MEDLINE |
| Imprint Name(s): | Original Publication: Washington, D.C. : American Society for Microbiology |
| MeSH Terms: | Climate Change* ; Earth, Planet*; Bacteria/genetics ; Models, Theoretical ; Biodiversity ; Humans ; Ecosystem |
| Abstract: | Climate change jeopardizes human health, global biodiversity, and sustainability of the biosphere. To make reliable predictions about climate change, scientists use Earth system models (ESMs) that integrate physical, chemical, and biological processes occurring on land, the oceans, and the atmosphere. Although critical for catalyzing coupled biogeochemical processes, microorganisms have traditionally been left out of ESMs. Here, we generate a "top 10" list of priorities, opportunities, and challenges for the explicit integration of microorganisms into ESMs. We discuss the need for coarse-graining microbial information into functionally relevant categories, as well as the capacity for microorganisms to rapidly evolve in response to climate-change drivers. Microbiologists are uniquely positioned to collect novel and valuable information necessary for next-generation ESMs, but this requires data harmonization and transdisciplinary collaboration to effectively guide adaptation strategies and mitigation policy. |
| Competing Interests: | The authors declare no conflict of interest. |
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| Grant Information: | DEB-1934554, DBI-2022049 National Science Foundation (NSF); W911NF2210014 DOD | USA | AFC | CCDC | ARO | Life Sciences Division, Army Research Office (Life Sciences Division ARO); 80NSSC20K0618 National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA); 101001608 EC | European Research Council (ERC); Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung (AvH) |
| Contributed Indexing: | Keywords: biogeochemistry; climate change; modeling; traits |
| Entry Date(s): | Date Created: 20240325 Date Completed: 20240508 Latest Revision: 20240510 |
| Update Code: | 20260130 |
| PubMed Central ID: | PMC11078004 |
| DOI: | 10.1128/mbio.00455-24 |
| PMID: | 38526088 |
| Database: | MEDLINE |
Journal Article; Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't