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Testing for Sequential Bias in School Inspections

Title: Testing for Sequential Bias in School Inspections
Language: English
Authors: Christian Bokhove (ORCID 0000-0002-4860-8723); John Jerrim (ORCID 0000-0001-5705-7954); Maria Palma Carvajal (ORCID 0000-0001-8306-7515); Sam Sims (ORCID 0000-0002-5585-8202)
Source: Oxford Review of Education. 2025 51(5):785-809.
Availability: Routledge. Available from: Taylor & Francis, Ltd. 530 Walnut Street Suite 850, Philadelphia, PA 19106. Tel: 800-354-1420; Tel: 215-625-8900; Fax: 215-207-0050; Web site: http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals
Peer Reviewed: Y
Page Count: 25
Publication Date: 2025
Document Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Elementary Education
Descriptors: Foreign Countries; Institutional Evaluation; Elementary Schools; Bias; Sequential Approach; Behavior Patterns
Geographic Terms: United Kingdom (England)
DOI: 10.1080/03054985.2024.2410270
ISSN: 0305-4985; 1465-3915
Abstract: Inspectors are tasked with judging the quality of provision based on visits to schools. They conduct these inspections sequentially, completing one before moving on to the next. However, empirical research in a range of settings outside education suggests that prior judgements in a sequence can influence subsequent judgements, despite being logically irrelevant. We investigate whether school inspectors in England display such sequential bias by testing whether they judge similar schools differently, depending on the judgements they reached in prior inspections. We find only limited evidence of sequential bias in primary school inspections. In particular, an inspector reaching an 'Inadequate' judgement in their previous inspection is associated with a 42 per cent reduction in the odds of reaching another 'Inadequate' judgement in their next inspection. Only around 5 per cent of inspection judgements result in an 'Inadequate' and we do not find consistent evidence of sequential bias at other grades, meaning this bias only affects a small minority of judgements. We also do not find the same results for secondary schools, albeit in a much smaller sample.
Abstractor: As Provided
Entry Date: 2026
Accession Number: EJ1500700
Database: ERIC