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On Signal-to-Noise Ratio Issues in Variational Inference for Deep Gaussian Processes

Title: On Signal-to-Noise Ratio Issues in Variational Inference for Deep Gaussian Processes
Authors: Rudner, Tim G. J.; Key, Oscar; Gal, Yarin; Rainforth, Tom
Publication Year: 2020
Collection: Computer Science; Statistics
Subject Terms: Statistics - Machine Learning; Computer Science - Artificial Intelligence; Computer Science - Machine Learning; Statistics - Methodology
Description: We show that the gradient estimates used in training Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) with importance-weighted variational inference are susceptible to signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) issues. Specifically, we show both theoretically and via an extensive empirical evaluation that the SNR of the gradient estimates for the latent variable's variational parameters decreases as the number of importance samples increases. As a result, these gradient estimates degrade to pure noise if the number of importance samples is too large. To address this pathology, we show how doubly reparameterized gradient estimators, originally proposed for training variational autoencoders, can be adapted to the DGP setting and that the resultant estimators completely remedy the SNR issue, thereby providing more reliable training. Finally, we demonstrate that our fix can lead to consistent improvements in the predictive performance of DGP models.; Comment: Published in Proceedings of the 38th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2021)
Document Type: Working Paper
Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2011.00515
Accession Number: edsarx.2011.00515
Database: arXiv