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Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories

Title: Simple and statistically sound recommendations for analysing physical theories
Authors: AbdusSalam, Shehu S.; Agocs, Fruzsina J.; Allanach, Benjamin C.; Athron, Peter; Balázs, Csaba; Bagnaschi, Emanuele; Bechtle, Philip; Buchmueller, Oliver; Beniwal, Ankit; Bhom, Jihyun; Bloor, Sanjay; Bringmann, Torsten; Buckley, Andy; Butter, Anja; Camargo-Molina, José Eliel; Chrzaszcz, Marcin; Conrad, Jan; Cornell, Jonathan M.; Danninger, Matthias; de Blas, Jorge; De Roeck, Albert; Desch, Klaus; Dolan, Matthew; Dreiner, Herbert; Eberhardt, Otto; Ellis, John; Farmer, Ben; Fedele, Marco; Flächer, Henning; Fowlie, Andrew; Gonzalo, Tomás E.; Grace, Philip; Hamer, Matthias; Handley, Will; Harz, Julia; Heinemeyer, Sven; Hoof, Sebastian; Hotinli, Selim; Jackson, Paul; Kahlhoefer, Felix; Kowalska, Kamila; Krämer, Michael; Kvellestad, Anders; Martinez, Miriam Lucio; Mahmoudi, Farvah; Santos, Diego Martinez; Martinez, Gregory D.; Mishima, Satoshi; Olive, Keith; Paul, Ayan; Prim, Markus Tobias; Porod, Werner; Raklev, Are; Renk, Janina J.; Rogan, Christopher; Roszkowski, Leszek; de Austri, Roberto Ruiz; Sakurai, Kazuki; Scaffidi, Andre; Scott, Pat; Sessolo, Enrico Maria; Stefaniak, Tim; Stöcker, Patrick; Su, Wei; Trojanowski, Sebastian; Trotta, Roberto; Tsai, Yue-Lin Sming; Abeele, Jeriek Van den; Valli, Mauro; Vincent, Aaron C.; Weiglein, Georg; White, Martin; Wienemann, Peter; Wu, Lei; Zhang, Yang
Source: Rep. Prog. Phys. 85 052201 (2022)
Publication Year: 2020
Collection: Astrophysics; High Energy Physics - Experiment; High Energy Physics - Phenomenology; Physics (Other)
Subject Terms: High Energy Physics - Phenomenology; Astrophysics - Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics; High Energy Physics - Experiment; Physics - Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Description: Physical theories that depend on many parameters or are tested against data from many different experiments pose unique challenges to statistical inference. Many models in particle physics, astrophysics and cosmology fall into one or both of these categories. These issues are often sidestepped with statistically unsound ad hoc methods, involving intersection of parameter intervals estimated by multiple experiments, and random or grid sampling of model parameters. Whilst these methods are easy to apply, they exhibit pathologies even in low-dimensional parameter spaces, and quickly become problematic to use and interpret in higher dimensions. In this article we give clear guidance for going beyond these procedures, suggesting where possible simple methods for performing statistically sound inference, and recommendations of readily-available software tools and standards that can assist in doing so. Our aim is to provide any physicists lacking comprehensive statistical training with recommendations for reaching correct scientific conclusions, with only a modest increase in analysis burden. Our examples can be reproduced with the code publicly available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4322283.; Comment: 15 pages, 4 figures. extended discussions. closely matches version accepted for publication
Document Type: Working Paper
DOI: 10.1088/1361-6633/ac60ac
Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2012.09874
Accession Number: edsarx.2012.09874
Database: arXiv