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Adjustment Costs of Trade Liberalization: Estimations for the Russian Labor Market

Title: Adjustment Costs of Trade Liberalization: Estimations for the Russian Labor Market
Authors: Akhmedov, Akhmed; Bessonova, Evgenia; Cherkashin, Ivan; Denisova, Irina; Grishina, Elena
Source: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/331366.
Publication Year: 2023
Collection: AgEcon Search - Research in Agricultural & Applied Economics
Description: The paper investigates adjustment costs of trade liberalization in Russia by estimating the influence of tariff policy in the 90-ies on the level and volatility of employment and wages. In particular, we study the labor demand and labor supply channels and address the following issues. First, how does labor demand by firms respond to trade shocks? Second, what is the effect of trade developments on wage dispersion across sectors? Third, what is the effect of trade changes on the wage gap between skilled and unskilled workers? We use balance sheets of Russian large and medium enterprises for 1995-2001 to estimate labor demand equations and to calculate possible changes in employment due to various shocks in output and tariffs. Our sample comprises of more than 53 thousand enterprises and is nationally and industry-level representative. The analysis of the labor supply channel is based on Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (RLMS), years 1995-2002, matched with sectoral indicators of trade liberalization. RLMS is a nationally representative panel survey of households’ members on a large number of issues. We find low magnitudes of responsiveness of the labor demand to trade shocks, both through the indirect effect of output changes and directly through the influence of tariffs and import penetration. This suggests that the adjustment costs to expected trade liberalization in the form of changes in industrial labor demand should not be high. We also find that trade liberalization does not have a significant effect on wages. It is likely that tariff reduction and trade liberalization would lead to only slight increase in the wage differentials between skilled and unskilled labor. It is obtained that there is no significant effect of tariffs on wages and wage premiums. Therefore, no significant evidence for the claim that “workers in more protected industries earn relatively more” is found. The latter implies that workers would not lose much after further trade liberalization provided they could move to trade ...
Document Type: text
Language: English
Relation: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/331366/files/1971.pdf; http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/331366
Availability: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/331366; https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/331366/files/1971.pdf
Accession Number: edsbas.1AB77C5E
Database: BASE