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The macroeconomy and Turkish agricultural trade balance with the EU countries: Panel ARDL analysis

Title: The macroeconomy and Turkish agricultural trade balance with the EU countries: Panel ARDL analysis
Authors: Erdem, Ekrem; Güloğlu, Bülent; Nazlioglu, S.
Publication Year: 2010
Collection: Pamukkale University Repository / Pamukkale Üniversitesi Açık Erişim Arşivi
Subject Terms: J-curve effect; Panel ARDL model; Trade balance theories; Turkish agricultural trade balance
Description: The purpose of this paper is to investigate the factors determining fluctuations in Turkish agricultural trade balance with the EU countries within the context of trade balance theories. For this purpose, we examine both the short and long-run impacts of the real exchange rate, the domestic (foreign) income, and the domestic (foreign) money supply on the agricultural trade balance between Turkey and her fourteen trading partners in the EU. Our study covers the period from 1987q1 to 2005q4, and employs the Pooled Mean Group estimator. The results show that (i) the monetary and real variables have significant effects on the Turkish agricultural trade balance in both the short and long-run and (ii) the J-curve effect is not observable in Turkish agricultural trade with the EU countries. Findings provide some clues to better understanding of the recent dynamics of Turkish agricultural trade balance with the EU countries. © International Economic Society.
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
Language: English
Relation: International Journal of Economic Perspectives; Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı; https://hdl.handle.net/11499/6326; 371; 379
Availability: https://hdl.handle.net/11499/6326
Rights: none
Accession Number: edsbas.2FF19E84
Database: BASE