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Natural history of the revised ALS functional rating scale and its association with survival:the PRECISION-ALS Extant Study

Title: Natural history of the revised ALS functional rating scale and its association with survival:the PRECISION-ALS Extant Study
Authors: van Eijk, Ruben P A; Weemering, Daphne N; Opie-Martin,Sarah; van Unnik, Jordi W J; Caravaca Puchades,Alejandro; Chiò,Adriano; Corcia,Philippe; Galvin,Miriam; Hardiman,Orla; Heverin,Mark; Hobin,Frederik; Holmdahl,Oskar; Ingre,Caroline; Lamaire,Nikita; Mac Domhnaill,Éanna; McDonough,Harry; Manera,Umberto; McDermott,Christopher J; McFarlane,Robert; Mouzouri,Mohammed; Ombelet,Fouke; Povedano Panadés,Mónica; Sennfält,Stefan; Shaw,Pamela J; Terrafeta Pastor,Cristina; Van Damme,Philip; Vasta,Rosario; Veldink, Jan H; Al-Chalabi,Ammar; van den Berg, Leonard H; Projectafdeling ALS; Brain; Neurologen; Genetic Risks
Publication Year: 2025
Subject Terms: ALS; ALSFRS-R; joint model; survival; Neurology; Clinical Neurology
Description: Objective: To characterize the natural history of the revised ALS functional rating scale (ALSFRS-R) over a 24-month period following initial assessment, and to assess its associations with survival. Methods: Longitudinal ALSFRS-R measurements and survival data were obtained from seven population-based, European cohorts. Different models for the ALSFRS-R trajectory were evaluated, including tests for linearity and between-cohort differences. We employed a joint modeling framework to factor in mortality, thereby aiming to derive a more precise estimate of the population’s rate of decline, while simultaneously delineating its relationship with survival. Results: In total, 7,030 patients were included who produced 31,746 ALSFRS-R measurements during a follow-up period of 10,285 person-years. There was substantial evidence for a non-linear time trend within all cohorts (all p < 0.001), with faster progression rates at the beginning of follow-up. The average rate over 24 months was 0.89 points per month; 95% of the patients had a rate between 0.04 and 1.96. Overall, two components of the ALSFRS-R trajectory were found to be associated with survival: (1) the actual value of the ALSFRS-R total score and (2) the rate of change at any given time (both p < 0.001). Conclusions: Functional loss in ALS follows a decelerating trajectory, where the current functional status and the rate of change have a direct impact on the patient’ s probability of survival. Given the pivotal role of the ALSFRS-R in drug development, these results help to separate treatment benefit from the disease’s natural trajectory and to estimate the impact on survival.
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
File Description: application/pdf
Language: English
ISSN: 2167-8421
Relation: https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/466023
Availability: https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/466023
Rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
Accession Number: edsbas.385DF526
Database: BASE