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Machine learning for diagnosis of myocardial infarction using cardiac troponin concentrations

Title: Machine learning for diagnosis of myocardial infarction using cardiac troponin concentrations
Authors: Doudesis, Dimitrios; Lee, Kuan Ken; Boeddinghaus, Jasper; Bularga, Anda; Ferry, Amy V.; Tuck, Chris; Lowry, Matthew T.H.; Lopez-Ayala, Pedro; Nestelberger, Thomas; Koechlin, Luca; Bernabeu, Miguel O.; Neubeck, Lis; Anand, Atul; Schulz, Karen; Apple, Fred S.; Parsonage, William; Greenslade, Jaimi H.; Cullen, Louise; Pickering, John W.; Than, Martin P.; Gray, Alasdair; Mueller, Christian; Mills, Nicholas L.; CoDE-ACS Investigators
Publisher Information: Nature Publishing Group
Publication Year: 2023
Collection: Edinburgh Napier Repository (Napier University Edinburgh)
Description: Although guidelines recommend fixed cardiac troponin thresholds for the diagnosis of myocardial infarction, troponin concentrations are influenced by age, sex, comorbidities and time from symptom onset. To improve diagnosis, we developed machine learning models that integrate cardiac troponin concentrations at presentation or on serial testing with clinical features and compute the CoDE-ACS score (0-100) that corresponds to an individual’s probability of myocardial infarction. The models were trained on data from 10,038 patients (48% women) and their performance was externally validated using data from 10,286 patients (35% women) from seven cohorts. CoDE-ACS had excellent discrimination for myocardial infarction (area under curve 0.953, 95% confidence interval 0.947-0.958), performed well across subgroups, and identified more patients at presentation as low59 probability as having myocardial infarction than fixed cardiac troponin thresholds (61% versus 27%) with a similar negative predictive value, and fewer as high-probability for having myocardial infarction (10% versus 16%) with a greater positive predictive value. Patients identified as having a low-probability of myocardial infarction had a lower rate of cardiac death than those with intermediate- or high-probability 30-days (0.1% versus 0.5% and 1.8%) and one year (0.3% versus 2.8% and 4.2%; P
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
Language: English
Relation: https://napier-repository.worktribe.com/output/3061818
DOI: 10.1038/s41591-023-02325-4
Availability: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-023-02325-4; https://napier-repository.worktribe.com/file/3061818/1/Machine%20learning%20for%20diagnosis%20of%20myocardial%20infarction%204%20using%20cardiac%20troponin%20concentrations; https://napier-repository.worktribe.com/output/3061818
Rights: openAccess ; http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Accession Number: edsbas.387E87D1
Database: BASE