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Enhancing Railway Track Intervention Planning: Accounting for Component Interactions and Evolving Failure Risks

Title: Enhancing Railway Track Intervention Planning: Accounting for Component Interactions and Evolving Failure Risks
Authors: Hamed Mehranfar; Bryan T. Adey; Saviz Moghtadernejad; Claudia Fecarotti
Source: Infrastructures ; Volume 10 ; Issue 5 ; Pages: 126
Publisher Information: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Publication Year: 2025
Collection: MDPI Open Access Publishing
Subject Terms: infrastructure management; railway systems; digitalisation; deterioration modelling; maintenance planning; intervention strategies
Description: This manuscript proposes a methodology to leverage digitalisation to efficiently generate an overview of required condition-based railway track interventions, possession windows, and expected costs for railway networks at the beginning of the intervention planning process. The consistent and efficient generation of such an overview not only helps track managers in their decision-making but also facilitates the discussion among other decision-makers in later phases of the track intervention planning process, including line planners, capacity managers, and project managers. The methodology uses data of different levels of detail, discrete state modelling for uncertain deterioration of components, and component-level intervention strategies. It dynamically updates the condition estimates of components by capturing the interaction between deteriorating components using Bayesian filters. It also estimates the risks associated with different types of potential service losses that may occur due to sudden events using fault trees as a function of time and the condition of components. An implementation of the methodology is conducted for a 25 km regional railway network in Switzerland. The results suggest that the methodology has the potential to help track managers early in the intervention planning process. In addition, it is argued that the methodology will lead to improvements in the efficiency of the planning process, improvements in the scheduling of preventive interventions, and the reduction in corrective intervention costs upon the implementation in a digital environment.
Document Type: text
File Description: application/pdf
Language: English
Relation: Infrastructures Inspection and Maintenance; https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures10050126
DOI: 10.3390/infrastructures10050126
Availability: https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures10050126
Rights: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Accession Number: edsbas.3E69A746
Database: BASE