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Footprint of publication selection bias on meta-analyses in medicine, environmental sciences, psychology, and economics

Title: Footprint of publication selection bias on meta-analyses in medicine, environmental sciences, psychology, and economics
Authors: Bartoš,František; Maier,Maximilian; Wagenmakers,Eric-Jan; Nippold,Franziska; Doucouliagos,Hristos; Ioannidis,John P A; Otte, Willem M; Sladekova,Martina; Deresssa,Teshome K; Bruns,Stephan B; Fanelli,Daniele; Stanley,T D; Projectafdeling KIND; Brain
Publication Year: 2024
Subject Terms: Ecology; Economics; Humans; Medicine; Meta-Analysis as Topic; Probability; Psychology; Publication Bias; Research Design; Selection Bias; Journal Article
Description: Publication selection bias undermines the systematic accumulation of evidence. To assess the extent of this problem, we survey over 68,000 meta-analyses containing over 700,000 effect size estimates from medicine (67,386/597,699), environmental sciences (199/12,707), psychology (605/23,563), and economics (327/91,421). Our results indicate that meta-analyses in economics are the most severely contaminated by publication selection bias, closely followed by meta-analyses in environmental sciences and psychology, whereas meta-analyses in medicine are contaminated the least. After adjusting for publication selection bias, the median probability of the presence of an effect decreased from 99.9% to 29.7% in economics, from 98.9% to 55.7% in psychology, from 99.8% to 70.7% in environmental sciences, and from 38.0% to 29.7% in medicine. The median absolute effect sizes (in terms of standardized mean differences) decreased from d = 0.20 to d = 0.07 in economics, from d = 0.37 to d = 0.26 in psychology, from d = 0.62 to d = 0.43 in environmental sciences, and from d = 0.24 to d = 0.13 in medicine.
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
File Description: text/plain
Language: English
ISSN: 1759-2879
Relation: https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/453599
Availability: https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/453599
Rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
Accession Number: edsbas.4DC98DFA
Database: BASE