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Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm

Title: Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm
Authors: Sundiang, Marina; Oliveira, Thais Diniz; Mason-D'Croz, Daniel; Gibson, Matthew; Beier, Felicitas; Benavidez, Lauren; Chepeliev, Maksym; Doelman, Jonathan; Dunston, Shahnila; Fujimori, Shinichiro; Hasegawa, Tomoko; Havlik, Petr; Hristov, Jordan; Jägermeyr, Jonas; Kozicka, Marta; Kuiper, Marijke; de Lange, Thijs; Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon; Lotze-Campen, Hermann; Chen, David Meng-Chuen; Mishra, Abhijeet; Nelson, Gerald C.; Perez Dominguez, Ignacio; Popp, Alexander; Sands, Ronald; Springmann, Marco; Stehfest, Elke; Sulser, Timothy B.; Takahashi, Kiyoshi; Tassinari, Gianmaria; Thom, Ferike; Thornton, Philip K.; Tommey, Jake; Tsuchiya, Kazuaki; van Zeist, Willem-Jan; van Meijl, Hans; van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique; Van Vuuren, Detlef; Weindl, Isabelle; Wiebe, Keith D.; Herrero, Mario
Source: Sundiang, Marina; Oliveira, Thais Diniz; Mason-D'Croz, Daniel; Gibson, Matthew; Beier, Felicitas; et al. 2024. Assessing the individual and cumulative impacts of drivers in food systems transformation through a multi-model ensemble paradigm. Presented during the 27th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis at Fort Collins in Colorado, USA. https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/resources/res_display.asp?RecordID=7330
Publisher Information: Purdue University
Publication Year: 2025
Collection: CGIAR CGSpace (Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research)
Subject Terms: food systems; models; globalization; climate change
Description: The global food system faces a triple challenge: ensuring accessible healthy diets for all while promoting fair production, processing, and distribution, within safe planetary boundaries. Unfortunately, it significantly contributes to transgressing these boundaries. Intensified production driven by population growth depletes resources, exacerbates biodiversity loss, and worsens the climate crisis. Despite producing enough for 10 billion people, distribution remains uneven, leaving one in ten food insecure. Existing consumption patterns reinforce this imbalance. Failure to act risks exacerbating food inequality, malnutrition, and crossing irreversible tipping points. Leveraging global economic models, we find that a comprehensive approach combining productivity gains and diet shifts maximizes environmental benefits. Implementing these interventions together can meet agricultural demands without further land conversion or increased emissions. Combining this with climate change mitigation and land-use regulations maximizes environmental benefits and offsets food affordability challenges associated with ambitious mitigation efforts.
Document Type: conference object
Language: English
Relation: https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169872
Availability: https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169872
Rights: Open Access
Accession Number: edsbas.4E3D2659
Database: BASE