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Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

Title: Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests
Authors: Sullivan, MJP; Lewis, SL; Affum-Baffoe, K; Castilho, C; Costa, F; Sanchez, AC; Ewango, CEN; Hubau, W; Marimon, B; Monteagudo-Mendoza, A; Qie, L; Sonke, B; Vasquez Martinez, R; Baker, TR; Brienen, RJW; Feldpausch, TR; Galbraith, D; Gloor, M; Malhi, Y; Aiba, S-I; Alexiades, MN; Almeida, EC; de Oliveira, EA; Alvarez Davila, E; Loayza, PA; Andrade, A; Vieira, SA; Aragao, LEOC; Araujo-Murakami, A; Arets, EJMM; Arroyo, L; Ashton, P; Aymard, GC; Baccaro, FB; Banin, LF; Baraloto, C; Camargo, PB; Barlow, J; Barroso, J; Bastin, J-F; Batterman, SA; Beeckman, H; Begne, SK; Bennett, AC; Berenguer, E; Berry, N; Blanc, L; Boeckx, P; Bogaert, J; Bonal, D; Bongers, F; Bradford, M; Brearley, FQ; Brncic, T; Brown, F; Burban, B; Camargo, JL; Castro, W; Ceron, C; Ribeiro, SC; Moscoso, VC; Chave, J; Chezeaux, E; Clark, CJ; de Souza, FC; Collins, M; Comiskey, JA; Cornejo Valverde, F; Corrales Medina, M; da Costa, L; Dancak, M; Dargie, GC; Davies, S; Davila Cardozo, N; de Haulleville, T; de Medeiros, MB; del Aguila Pasquel, J; Derroire, G; Di Fiore, A; Doucet, J-L; Dourdain, A; Droissart, V; Fernanda Duque, L; Ekoungoulou, R; Elias, F; Erwin, T; Esquivel-Muelbert, A; Fauset, S; Ferreira, J; Flores Llampazo, G; Foli, E; Ford, A; Gilpin, M; Hall, JS; Hamer, KC; Hamilton, AC; Harris, DJ; Hart, TB; Hedl, R; Herault, B; Herrera, R; Higuchi, N; Hladik, A; Honorio Coronado, E; Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, I; Huaraca Huasco, W; Jeffery, KJ; Jimenez-Rojas, E; Kalamandeen, M; Djuikouo, MNK; Kearsley, E; Umetsu, RK; Kho, LK; Killeen, T; Kitayama, K; Klitgaard, B; Koch, A; Labriere, N; Laurance, W; Laurance, S; Leal, ME; Levesley, A; Lima, AJN; Lisingo, J; Lopes, AP; Lopez-Gonzalez, G; Lovejoy, T; Lovett, JC; Lowe, R; Magnusson, WE; Malumbres-Olarte, J; Manzatto, AG; Marimon, BH; Marshall, AR; Marthews, T; de Almeida Reis, SM; Maycock, C; Melgaco, K; Mendoza, C; Metali, F; Mihindou, V; Milliken, W; Mitchard, ETA; Morandi, PS; Mossman, HL; Nagy, L; Nascimento, H; Neill, D; Nilus, R; Nunez Vargas, P; Palacios, W; Camacho, NP; Peacock, J; Pendry, C; Penuela Mora, MC; Pickavance, GC; Pipoly, J; Pitman, N; Playfair, M; Poorter, L; Poulsen, JR; Poulsen, AD; Preziosi, R; Prieto, A; Primack, RB; Ramirez-Angulo, H; Reitsma, J; Rejou-Mechain, M; Restrepo Correa, Z; de Sousa, TR; Rodriguez Bayona, L; Roopsind, A; Rudas, A; Rutishauser, E; Abu Salim, K; Salomao, RP; Schietti, J; Sheil, D; Silva, RC; Silva Espejo, J; Valeria, CS; Silveira, M; Simo-Droissart, M; Simon, MF; Singh, J; Soto Shareva, YC; Stahl, C; Stropp, J; Sukri, R; Sunderland, T; Svatek, M; Swaine, MD; Swamy, V; Taedoumg, H; Talbot, J; Taplin, J; Taylor, D; ter Steege, H; Terborgh, J; Thomas, R; Thomas, SC; Torres-Lezama, A; Umunay, P; Valenzuela Gamarra, L; van der Heijden, G; van der Hout, P; van der Meer, P; van Nieuwstadt, M; Verbeeck, H; Vernimmen, R; Vicentini, A; Guimaraes Vieira, IC; Torre, EV; Vleminckx, J; Vos, V; Wang, O; White, LJT; Willcock, S; Woods, JT; Wortel, V; Young, K; Zagt, R; Zemagho, L; Zuidema, PA; Zwerts, JA; Phillips, OL
Source: Science , 368 (6493) pp. 869-874. (2020)
Publisher Information: AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
Publication Year: 2020
Collection: University College London: UCL Discovery
Description: The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (−9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth’s climate.
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
File Description: text
Language: English
Relation: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10103298/3/Lewis_Sullivan%20et%20al_author%20accepted.pdf; https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10103298/
Availability: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10103298/3/Lewis_Sullivan%20et%20al_author%20accepted.pdf; https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10103298/
Rights: open
Accession Number: edsbas.5BA92CF5
Database: BASE