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Involving uncertainty in Bayesian network tuning

Title: Involving uncertainty in Bayesian network tuning
Authors: Bolt, Janneke; Hommersom, Arjen; Renooij, Silja; Sub Intelligent Systems; Sauerwald, Kai; Thimm, Matthias
Publication Year: 2025
Subject Terms: Bayesian networks; Parameter tuning; Uncertainty-based; Taverne; Theoretical Computer Science; General Computer Science
Description: Parameter tuning in Bayesian networks is the process of adapting network parameters in order to enforce a predefined query response. Existing approaches select and adapt parameters based on their values in the partial derivatives of the query response. This approach is based on the assumption that a minimal change in parameters is preferred. In this paper we argue for including the uncertainty in the current parameter estimates in the selection and adaptation of the parameters. We propose a new evaluation criterion, for networks with binary-valued variables, together with new tuning heuristics that take this higher-order uncertainty into account. We evaluate our proposal and observe in our experiments that two of the proposed heuristics that take this additional uncertainty into account consistently outperform tuning based on gradients alone.
Document Type: book part
File Description: application/pdf
Language: English
ISSN: 0302-9743
Relation: https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/483144
Availability: https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/483144
Rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
Accession Number: edsbas.794FE367
Database: BASE