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GARLIC: Graph Attention-based Relational Learning of Multivariate Time Series in Intensive Care

Title: GARLIC: Graph Attention-based Relational Learning of Multivariate Time Series in Intensive Care
Authors: Wang, Ruirui; Li, Yanke; id_orcid:0 009-0009-3176-0188; Günther, Manuel; Paez-Granados, Diego
Source: The Fourteenth International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR 2026)
Publisher Information: OpenReview
Publication Year: 2026
Collection: ETH Zürich Research Collection
Subject Terms: Machine learning; Time series analysis; Graph Neural Networks (GNNs); Attention; intensive care unit; irregular multivariate time series; deep learning for health; explainability; Data processing; computer science; Medical sciences; medicine
Description: Healthcare data, such as Intensive Care Unit (ICU) records, comprise heterogeneous multivariate time series sampled at irregular intervals with pervasive missingness. However, clinical applications demand predictive models that are both accurate and interpretable. We present our Graph Attention-based Relational Learning for Intensive Care (GARLIC) model, a novel neural network architecture that imputes missing data through a learnable exponential-decay encoder, captures inter-sensor dependencies via time-lagged summary graphs, and fuses global patterns with cross-dimensional sequential attention. All attention weights and graph edges are learned end-to-end to serve as built-in observation-, signal-, and edge-level explanations. To reconcile auxiliary reconstruction and primary classification objectives, we developed an alternating decoupled optimization scheme that stabilizes training. On three ICU benchmarks (PhysioNet 2012 & 2019, MIMIC-III), GARLIC sets the new state of the art in outcome prediction, significantly improving AUROC and AUPRC over best-performing baselines at comparable computational cost. Ablation studies confirm the contribution of each module, and feature-removal trials validate the fidelity of importance attribution through a monotonic performance drop (full > top 50% > random 50% > bottom 50%). Real-time case studies demonstrate actionable risk warnings with transparent explanations, marking a significant advance toward accurate, explainable deep learning for irregularly sampled ICU time series data. Moreover, we demonstrated GARLIC's superiority in data imputation and classification on various time-series datasets beyond the ICU domain, showing its generalizability and applicability to broader tasks.
Document Type: conference object
File Description: application/application/pdf
Language: English
Relation: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/798336
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-c-000798336
Availability: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/798336; https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-c-000798336
Rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess ; http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ ; Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Accession Number: edsbas.8E82E5F9
Database: BASE