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Diurnal and Seasonal Patterns of Convective Weather Hazards in Tennessee and Their Potential to Cause Harm (1996–2022)

Title: Diurnal and Seasonal Patterns of Convective Weather Hazards in Tennessee and Their Potential to Cause Harm (1996–2022)
Authors: Hannel, Cara; Ellis, Kelsey; First, Jennifer; Herrera, Dimitris
Source: Southeastern Geographer ; ISSN 1549-6929
Publisher Information: Project MUSE
Publication Year: 2025
Description: Flash floods, tornadoes, and nontornadic thunderstorm winds occur across Tennessee throughout the year, some causing harm to residents of the state. This work used data from the National Centers for Environmental Information Storm Events Database (1996–2002) to assess the frequency of hazardous and harmful––those that resulted in one direct injury and/or fatality––events across the state and determine how their frequency varied seasonally and diurnally. Hazards were most common and most harmful in Middle Tennessee and densely populated counties. Chi-square tests identified differences in hazardous and harmful event occurrences between seasons and from day to night. These relationships were further described in a logistic regression model, which indicated that a tornado or nighttime event was significantly more likely to result in reported harm, and a nontornadic thunderstorm wind or summer event was less likely to result in such a report. There are likely some reporting biases that affect these results, for example the underreporting of overnight events that do not cause harm. Overall, these findings suggest that, in Tennessee, annual and diurnal patterns in the overall hazard climatology differ from the patterns of reportedly harmful events, and point to the danger of convective hazards occurring at night.
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
Language: English
DOI: 10.1353/sgo.0.a950193
Availability: https://doi.org/10.1353/sgo.0.a950193
Accession Number: edsbas.95A4D1EE
Database: BASE