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Clinical outcomes and survival surrogacy studies of prostate-specific antigen declines following enzalutamide in men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer previously treated with docetaxel.

Title: Clinical outcomes and survival surrogacy studies of prostate-specific antigen declines following enzalutamide in men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer previously treated with docetaxel.
Authors: Armstrong, AJ; Saad, F; Phung, D; Dmuchowski, C; Shore, ND; Fizazi, K; Hirmand, M; Forer, D; Scher, HI; Bono, JD
Contributors: De Bono, Johann
Publisher Information: WILEY
Publication Year: 2017
Collection: The Institute of Cancer Research (ICR): Publications Repository
Subject Terms: Humans; Carcinoma; Taxoids; Phenylthiohydantoin; Kallikreins; Prostate-Specific Antigen; Antineoplastic Agents; Disease-Free Survival; Treatment Outcome; Survival Rate; Proportional Hazards Models; Double-Blind Method; Male; Kaplan-Meier Estimate; Prostatic Neoplasms; Castration-Resistant; Docetaxel
Description: BACKGROUND: In the AFFIRM trial, enzalutamide significantly increased overall survival (OS) for men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) after chemotherapy versus placebo and significantly decreased prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels. The goal of this post hoc analysis was to associate levels of PSA decline from baseline after enzalutamide with clinical outcomes in the postchemotherapy mCRPC setting. METHODS: Men in the AFFIRM trial (n = 1199) were grouped by maximal PSA decline in the first 90 days of treatment. Kaplan-Meier estimates evaluated the association of defined PSA changes from baseline with OS, progression-free survival (PFS), radiographic PFS (rPFS), and pain response. Each PSA decline category was assessed for OS surrogacy using Prentice criteria, proportion of treatment effect explained (PTE), and proportion of variation explained. RESULTS: Men treated with enzalutamide had improved OS (hazard ratio, 0.63; P < .001) and higher rates of PSA decline (odds ratio, >19.0; P < .001) versus placebo. PSA declines of any, ≥30%, ≥50%, and ≥90% with enzalutamide were strongly associated with greater OS, PSA PFS, rPFS (P < .001), and pain response (P < .026) versus PSA increase/no decline. Any, ≥30%, and ≥50% declines in PSA resulted in the PTE range of 1.07-1.29, where treatment was no longer significant after adjustment for decline measures (P > .20). CONCLUSIONS: PSA declines of any, ≥30%, and ≥50% following enzalutamide were associated with greater clinical and pain response and improvements in PFS and OS. Surrogacy of PSA decline for OS was not fully established, possibly due to lack of PSA declines with placebo, and discordant results between PSA and imaging responses over time, and because some declines were not durable due to rapid resistance development. However, a lack of PSA decline by 90 days following enzalutamide treatment was a poor prognosis indicator in this setting. Conclusions from sensitivity analyses of maximal PSA decline from baseline over ...
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
File Description: Print-Electronic; 2311; application/pdf
Language: English
ISSN: 1097-0142; 0008-543X
Relation: Cancer, 2017, 123 (12), pp. 2303 - 2311; https://repository.icr.ac.uk/handle/internal/775
DOI: 10.1002/cncr.30587
Availability: https://doi.org/10.1002/cncr.30587; https://repository.icr.ac.uk/handle/internal/775
Rights: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
Accession Number: edsbas.9F1FCD7C
Database: BASE