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Halting predicted vertebrate declines requires tackling multiple drivers of biodiversity loss

Title: Halting predicted vertebrate declines requires tackling multiple drivers of biodiversity loss
Authors: Capdevila, P.; O’Brien, D.; Marconi, V.; Johnson, T.F.; Freeman, R.; McRae, L.; Clements, C.F.
Publisher Information: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Publication Year: 2026
Collection: White Rose Research Online (Universities of Leeds, Sheffield & York)
Description: Conservation policies aiming to halt biodiversity loss often focus on globally prevalent threats like habitat loss and exploitation, yet direct and interactive effects of multiple threats remain poorly quantified. Here, we go beyond prior meta-analyses or species-level studies by providing a global, population-level empirical analysis of threat interactions by examining 3129 vertebrate population time series worldwide with documented exposure to single and multiple threats. Populations affected solely by habitat loss or exploitation do not exhibit the steepest declines; instead, disease, invasive species, pollution, and climate change are associated with faster declines. Interactive threats contribute more to population declines than temporal or spatial variation. Counterfactual analyses reveal that mitigating multiple threats is essential to achieving nonnegative vertebrate population trends and halting biodiversity loss.
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
File Description: text
Language: English
Relation: https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/id/eprint/237973/1/sciadv.adx7973.pdf; Capdevila, P. orcid.org/0000-0002-2842-4302 , O’Brien, D. orcid.org/0000-0002-3420-5210 , Marconi, V. orcid.org/0000-0001-7443-0255 et al. (4 more authors) (2026) Halting predicted vertebrate declines requires tackling multiple drivers of biodiversity loss. Science Advances, 12 (7). eadx7973.
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adx7973
Availability: https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/id/eprint/237973/; https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/id/eprint/237973/1/sciadv.adx7973.pdf; https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adx7973
Rights: cc_by_4
Accession Number: edsbas.A1185ED9
Database: BASE