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The relative influence of geographic and environmental factors on rare plant translocation outcomes

Title: The relative influence of geographic and environmental factors on rare plant translocation outcomes
Authors: Bellis, J; Albrecht, MA; Maschinski, J; Dalrymple, SE; Keir, MJ; Chambers, T; Possley, J; Adkins, ED; Parsons, EW; Kunz, M; Radcliffe, C; Coffey, E; Kaye, TN; Peterson, CL; David, AS; Herron, SA; Menges, ES; Bell, T; Coppoletta, M; Elam, C; McEachern, K; Williamson, PS; Boensch, D; Bontrager, M; Breeden, C; Frade, N; Gordon, DR; Link, SO; Littlefield, T; Murray, S; O'Dell, R; Pavlovic, NB; Reemts, CM; Taylor, DD; Titus, JH; Titus, PJ; Stanley, TA; Heineman, KD
Publisher Information: Wiley
Publication Year: 2025
Collection: Liverpool John Moores University: LJMU Research Online
Subject Terms: GE Environmental Sciences
Description: Conservation translocations are an established method for reducing the extinction risk of plant species through intentional movement within or outside the indigenous range. Unsuitable environmental conditions at translocation recipient sites and a lack of understanding of species–environment relationships are often identified as critical barriers to translocation success. However, previous syntheses have drawn these inferences from analyses of qualitative feedback rather than quantitative environmental data. In this study, we use a data set of 235 translocations conducted in the US to understand the influences of geographic and environmental factors on three metrics of translocation success: population persistence, next-generation recruitment and next-generation maturity. We use random forest models to quantify the relative importance of geographic and environmental factors that characterize dissimilarity between source and recipient locations, the position of recipient sites relative to species' ranges and niche metrics derived from these ranges. We also compare the importance of these variables with more conventional predictors (e.g. founder population size). Our results indicate that geographic and environmental variables can be as insightful as conventional variables for predicting plant translocation outcomes. The climate suitability of recipient sites, estimated using species distribution models, was the strongest relative predictor of whether a population persisted, with populations situated in more suitable climates displaying greater persistence. Next-generation recruitment and maturity were best predicted by niche metrics; species in more biotically limiting environments, including tropical regions and soils with high relative nutrient retention, as well as species with the broadest precipitation niches, were the least likely to attain these next-generation benchmarks. Synthesis and applications. Our study is one of the first to quantify the important role of spatial and climatic factors in rare plant ...
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
File Description: text
Language: English
ISSN: 0021-8901
Relation: https://researchonline.ljmu.ac.uk/id/eprint/25452/1/The%20relative%20influence%20of%20geographic%20and%20environmental%20factors%20on%20rare%20plant%20translocation%20outcomes.pdf; Bellis, J ORCID logoorcid:0000-0003-2787-3736 , Albrecht, MA ORCID logoorcid:0000-0002-1079-1630 , Maschinski, J, Dalrymple, SE ORCID logoorcid:0000-0002-6806-855X , Keir, MJ, Chambers, T, Possley, J, Adkins, ED, Parsons, EW, Kunz, M, Radcliffe, C, Coffey, E, Kaye, TN, Peterson, CL, David, AS, Herron, SA, Menges, ES ORCID logoorcid:0000-0002-9486-4189 , Bell, T, Coppoletta, M, Elam, C, McEachern, K, Williamson, PS, Boensch, D, Bontrager, M, Breeden, C, Frade, N, Gordon, DR, Link, SO, Littlefield, T, Murray, S, O'Dell, R, Pavlovic, NB, Reemts, CM ORCID logoorcid:0000-0002-6135-2785 , Taylor, DD, Titus, JH, Titus, PJ, Stanley, TA and Heineman, KD ORCID logoorcid:0000-0001-9272-5831 (2025) The relative influence of geographic and environmental factors on rare plant translocation outcomes. Journal of Applied Ecology. ISSN 0021-8901
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.14855
Availability: https://researchonline.ljmu.ac.uk/id/eprint/25452/; https://researchonline.ljmu.ac.uk/id/eprint/25452/1/The%20relative%20influence%20of%20geographic%20and%20environmental%20factors%20on%20rare%20plant%20translocation%20outcomes.pdf; https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.14855
Rights: cc_by_nc_nd
Accession Number: edsbas.A7E11EF8
Database: BASE