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Influence of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation on Continental United States Hurricane Landfalls

Title: Influence of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation on Continental United States Hurricane Landfalls
Authors: Philip J. Klotzbach; Carl J. Schreck III; Gilbert P. Compo; Kimberly M. Wood; Eric C. J. Oliver; Steven G. Bowen; Michael M. Bell
Source: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 50, Iss 7, Pp n/a-n/a (2023)
Publisher Information: Wiley
Publication Year: 2023
Collection: Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles
Subject Terms: tropical cyclone; hurricane; Madden‐Julian oscillation; hurricane landfall; hurricane damage; Geophysics. Cosmic physics; QC801-809
Description: The Madden‐Julian oscillation (MJO) significantly impacts North Atlantic hurricanes, with increased hurricane activity occurring when the MJO enhances convection over Africa and the tropical Indian Ocean and suppressed hurricane activity occurring when the MJO enhances convection over the tropical Pacific. Using data from 1905 to 2015, we find more tropical cyclones (TCs) make landfall in the continental United States when the MJO enhances tropical Indian Ocean convection. In addition, when the MJO enhances Western Pacific and Western Hemisphere convection, TC activity is preferentially favored in the Caribbean, leading to more Gulf Coast landfalls. As MJO‐enhanced convection moves to the Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent, more storms form in the tropical Atlantic, favoring Florida Peninsula and East Coast landfalls. The MJO's TC steering wind modulation appears to be secondary to its genesis location modulation.
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
Language: English
Relation: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL102762; https://doaj.org/toc/0094-8276; https://doaj.org/toc/1944-8007; https://doaj.org/article/0e327dbb838d4b99ab454c1b33ffddf4
DOI: 10.1029/2023GL102762
Availability: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL102762; https://doaj.org/article/0e327dbb838d4b99ab454c1b33ffddf4
Accession Number: edsbas.AF552E39
Database: BASE