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A Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Biochemical Outcome After PSMA-PET-Guided Salvage Radiotherapy in Recurrent Prostate Cancer After Radical Prostatectomy: Retrospective Study

Title: A Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Biochemical Outcome After PSMA-PET-Guided Salvage Radiotherapy in Recurrent Prostate Cancer After Radical Prostatectomy: Retrospective Study
Authors: Janbain, Ali; Farolfi, Andrea; Guenegou-Arnoux, Armelle; Romengas, Louis; Scharl, Sophia; Fanti, Stefano; Serani, Francesca; Peeken, Jan C; Katsahian, Sandrine; Strouthos, Iosif; Ferentinos, Konstantinos; Koerber, Stefan A; Vogel, Marco E; Combs, Stephanie E; Vrachimis, Alexis; Morganti, Alessio Giuseppe; Spohn, Simon K B; Grosu, Anca-Ligia; Ceci, Francesco; Henkenberens, Christoph; Kroeze, Stephanie G C; Guckenberger, Matthias; Belka, Claus; Bartenstein, Peter; Hruby, George; Emmett, Louise; Omerieh, Ali Afshar; Schmidt-Hegemann, Nina-Sophie; Mose, Lucas; Aebersold, Daniel M
Source: Janbain, Ali; Farolfi, Andrea; Guenegou-Arnoux, Armelle; Romengas, Louis; Scharl, Sophia; Fanti, Stefano; Serani, Francesca; Peeken, Jan C; Katsahian, Sandrine; Strouthos, Iosif; Ferentinos, Konstantinos; Koerber, Stefan A; Vogel, Marco E; Combs, Stephanie E; Vrachimis, Alexis; Morganti, Alessio Giuseppe; Spohn, Simon K B; Grosu, Anca-Ligia; Ceci, Francesco; Henkenberens, Christoph; Kroeze, Stephanie G C; Guckenberger, Matthias; Belka, Claus; Bartenstein, Peter; Hruby, George; Emmett, Louise; Omerieh, Ali Afshar; Schmidt-Hegemann, Nina-Sophie; Mose, Lucas; Aebersold, Daniel M; et al (2024). A Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Biochemical Outcome After PSMA-PET-Guided Salvage Radiotherapy in Recurrent Prostate Cancer After Radical Prostatectomy: Retrospective Study. JMIR Cancer, 10:e60323.
Publisher Information: JMIR Publications
Publication Year: 2024
Collection: University of Zurich (UZH): ZORA (Zurich Open Repository and Archive
Subject Terms: Clinic for Radiation Oncology; Clinic for Gastroenterology and Hepatology; 610 Medicine & health
Description: BACKGROUND Salvage radiation therapy (sRT) is often the sole curative option in patients with biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy. After sRT, we developed and validated a nomogram to predict freedom from biochemical failure. OBJECTIVE This study aims to evaluate prostate-specific membrane antigen-positron emission tomography (PSMA-PET)-based sRT efficacy for postprostatectomy prostate-specific antigen (PSA) persistence or recurrence. Objectives include developing a random survival forest (RSF) model for predicting biochemical failure, comparing it with a Cox model, and assessing predictive accuracy over time. Multinational cohort data will validate the model's performance, aiming to improve clinical management of recurrent prostate cancer. METHODS This multicenter retrospective study collected data from 13 medical facilities across 5 countries: Germany, Cyprus, Australia, Italy, and Switzerland. A total of 1029 patients who underwent sRT following PSMA-PET-based assessment for PSA persistence or recurrence were included. Patients were treated between July 2013 and June 2020, with clinical decisions guided by PSMA-PET results and contemporary standards. The primary end point was freedom from biochemical failure, defined as 2 consecutive PSA rises >0.2 ng/mL after treatment. Data were divided into training (708 patients), testing (271 patients), and external validation (50 patients) sets for machine learning algorithm development and validation. RSF models were used, with 1000 trees per model, optimizing predictive performance using the Harrell concordance index and Brier score. Statistical analysis used R Statistical Software (R Foundation for Statistical Computing), and ethical approval was obtained from participating institutions. RESULTS Baseline characteristics of 1029 patients undergoing sRT PSMA-PET-based assessment were analyzed. The median age at sRT was 70 (IQR 64-74) years. PSMA-PET scans revealed local recurrences in 43.9% (430/979) and nodal recurrences in 27.2% (266/979) of ...
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
File Description: application/pdf
Language: English
ISSN: 2369-1999
Relation: https://www.zora.uzh.ch/id/eprint/263264/1/2024_Janbain_39166788.pdf; info:pmid/39303279; urn:issn:2369-1999
DOI: 10.2196/60323
Availability: https://www.zora.uzh.ch/id/eprint/263264/; https://www.zora.uzh.ch/id/eprint/263264/1/2024_Janbain_39166788.pdf; https://doi.org/10.2196/60323
Rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess ; Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) ; http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Accession Number: edsbas.B30B2B05
Database: BASE