Katalog Plus
Bibliothek der Frankfurt UAS
Bald neuer Katalog: sichern Sie sich schon vorab Ihre persönlichen Merklisten im Nutzerkonto: Anleitung.
Dieses Ergebnis aus BASE kann Gästen nicht angezeigt werden.  Login für vollen Zugriff.

Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Title: Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Authors: Murray, Christopher; Aravkin, Aleksandr; Zheng, Peng; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abbas, Kaja M.; Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen; Abd-Allah, Foad; Abdelalim, Ahmed; Abdollahi, Mohammad; Abdollahpour, Ibrahim; Abegaz, Kedir; Abolhassani, Hassan; Aboyans, Victor; Guimarães Abreu, Lucas; M Abrigo, Michael R; Abualhasan, Ahmed; Ibrahim Abushouk, Abdelrahman; Adabi, Maryam; Adekanmbi, Victor; Adeoye , Abiodun Eyitayo; Adetokunboh, Olatunji; Adham, Davoud; Advani, Shailesh M; Agarwal, Gina; Aghamir, Seyed Mohammad Kazem; Agrawal, Anurag; Ahmad, Tauseef; Ahmadi, Keivan; Ahmadi, Mehdi; Ahmadieh, Hamid; Beshir Ahmed, Muktar; Yihunie Akalu, Temesgen; Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola; Akinyemiju, Tomi F.; Akombi-Inyang, Blessing; Akunna, Chisom; Alahdab, Fares; Al-Aly, Ziyad; Alam, Khurshid; Alam, Samiah; Alam, Tahiya; Mashhour Alanez, Fahad; Alanzi, Turki; Assihun, Biresaw; Alhabib, Khalid; Ali, Muhammad; Ali, Saqib; Alicandro, Gianfranco; Alinia, Cyrus; Alipour, Vahid; Alizade, Hesam; Aljunid, Syed Mohamed; Alla, François; Allebeck, Peter; Almasi-Hashiani, Amir; Al-Mekhlafi, Hesham; Alonso, Jordi; Altirkawi, Khalid; Amini-Rarani, Mostafa; Amiri, Fatemeh; Amugsi, Dickson; Ancuceanu, Robert; Anderlini, Deanna; Anderson, Jason A; Andrei, Catalina Liliana; Andrei, Tudorel; Angus, Colin; Anjomshoa, Mina; Ansari, Fereshteh; Ansari-Moghaddam, Alireza; Antonazzo, Ippazio Cosimo; Antonio, Carl Abelardo; Antony, Catherine M; Antriyandarti, Ernoiz; Anvari, Davood; Anwer, Razique; Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw; Arabloo, Jalal; Arab-Zozani, Morteza; Ariani, Filippo; Armoon, Bahram; Ärnlöv, Johan; Arzani, Afsaneh; Asadi-Aliabadi, Mehran; Asadi-Pooya, Ali; Ashbaugh, Charlie; Assmus, Michael; Atafar, Zahra; Debalkie, Desta; Wahbi Atout, Maha Moh'd; Ausloos, Floriane; ausloos, marcel; Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina; Ayano, Getinet; Ayanore, Martin; Azari, Samad; Azarian, Ghasem; Azene, Zelalem Nigussie; Badawi, Alaa; Badiye, Ashish; Amin Bahram, Mohammad; Bakhshaei, Hossein; Bakhtiari, Ahad; Bakkannavar, Shankar M; Baldasseroni, Alberto; Ball, Kylie; Ballew, Shoshana; Balzi, Daniela; Banach, Maciej; Banerjee, Srikanta K; Bante, Agegnehu; BARAKI, ADHANOM; Barker-Collo, Suzanne; Bärnighausen, Till; Barrero, Lope; Barthelemy, Celine; Barua, Lingkan; Basu, Sanjay; Baune, Bernhard T; Bayati, Mohsen; Becker, Jacob S; Bedi, Neeraj; Beghi, Ettore; Béjot, Yannick; L Bell, Akshaya; Bhagavathula, Srikanth; Bhageerathy, Reshmi; Bhala, Neeraj; Bhandari, Dinesh; Bhattacharyya, Krittika; Bhutta, Zulfiqar; Bijani, Ali; Bikbov, Boris; Bin Sayeed, Muhammad Shahdaat; Biondi, Antonio; Minuye, Binyam; Bisignano, Catherine; Biswas, Raaj Kishore; Bitew, Helen; Bohloul, Somayeh; Bohluli, Mehdi; Boon-Dooley, Alexandra S; Borzì, Antonio Maria; Borzouei, Shiva; bosetti, cristina; Boufous, Soufiane; Braithwaite, Dejana; Breitner-Busch (née Breitner), Susanne; Brenner, Hermann; Svitil Briant, Paul; Briko, Andrey Nikolaevich; Briko, Nikolay; Bryazka, Dana; Burkart, Katrin; Burnett, Richard Thomas; Burugina Nagaraja, Sharath; Butt, Zahid A; Caetano Dos Santos, Florentino Luciano; Cámera, Luis Alberto; Campos, Ismael; Cárdenas, Rosario; Carreras, Giulia; CARRERO ESPINOSA, JULIA JOSÉ; Carvalho, Felix; Castaldelli-Maia, Joao Mauricio; Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos; Castelpietra, Giulio; Castro, Franz; Causey, Kate; Cederroth, Christopher; Cercy, Kelly M; Cerin, Ester; Chandan, Joht; Chang, Kai-Lan; Charlson, Fiona; Chattu, Vijay Kumar; Chaturvedi, Sarika; Cherbuin, Nicolas; Chimed-Ochir, Odgerel; Youngwhan Cho, Daniel; Jasmine Cho, Jee-Young; Christensen, Hanne; Chu, Dinh-Toi; Chung, Michael T; Chung, Sheng-Chia; Cicuttini, Flavia; Ciobanu, Liliana G; Cirillo, Massimo; Thomas, Dwayne; Cohen, Aaron J; Compton, Kelly; COOPER, OWEN; Costa, Vera Marisa; Cousin, Ewerton; Cowden, Richard Gregory; Cross, Di H; Cruz, Jessica A; Dahlawi, Saad; Moura Damasceno, Albertino Antonio; Damiani, Giovanni; Dandona, Lalit; Dandona, Rakhi; Dangel, William James; Danielsson, Anna-Karin; Dargan, Paul; Das, Jai; Das Gupta, Rajat; das Neves, José; Dávila-Cervantes, Claudio Alberto; Davitoiu, Dragos; de leo, diego; Degenhardt, Louisa; DeLang, Marissa; Dellavalle, Robert; Mekonnen Demeke, Feleke; Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam; Getnet Demsie, Desalegn; Denova-Gutiérrez, Edgar; Dervenis, Nikolaos; Dhungana, Govinda Prasad; Dianatinasab, Mostafa; Dias da Silva, Diana; Diaz, Daniel; Dibaji Forooshani, Zahra Sadat; Djalalinia, Shirin; Thi Do, Hoa
Source: The Lancet ; https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30752-2/fulltext
Publication Year: 2020
Collection: REDICUC - Repositorio Universidad de La Costa
Subject Terms: Leading risk factors; Public health; Relative risk
Description: Background: Rigorous analysis of levels and trends in exposure to leading risk factors and quantification of their effect on human health are important to identify where public health is making progress and in which cases current efforts are inadequate. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 provides a standardised and comprehensive assessment of the magnitude of risk factor exposure, relative risk, and attributable burden of disease. Methods: GBD 2019 estimated attributable mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years of life lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 87 risk factors and combinations of risk factors, at the global level, regionally, and for 204 countries and territories. GBD uses a hierarchical list of risk factors so that specific risk factors (eg, sodium intake), and related aggregates (eg, diet quality), are both evaluated. This method has six analytical steps. (1) We included 560 risk-outcome pairs that met criteria for convincing or probable evidence on the basis of research studies. 12 risk-outcome pairs included in GBD 2017 no longer met inclusion criteria and 47 risk-outcome pairs for risks already included in GBD 2017 were added based on new evidence. (2) Relative risks were estimated as a function of exposure based on published systematic reviews, 81 systematic reviews done for GBD 2019, and meta-regression. (3) Levels of exposure in each age-sex-location-year included in the study were estimated based on all available data sources using spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression, DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression method, or alternative methods. (4) We determined, from published trials or cohort studies, the level of exposure associated with minimum risk, called the theoretical minimum risk exposure level. (5) Attributable deaths, YLLs, YLDs, and DALYs were computed by multiplying population attributable fractions (PAFs) by the relevant outcome quantity for each age-sex-location-year. (6) PAFs and ...
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
File Description: application/pdf
Language: English
ISSN: 01406736; 1474547X
Relation: 1 WHO. Global action plan for the prevention and control of noncommunicable diseases. 2013–2020. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2013.; 2 WHO. UN Task Force on NCDs: The government of Ethiopia is working jointly with the UN system to strengthen the national NCD response. 2017. http://www.who.int/ncds/un-task-force/jointprogramming-missions/ethiopia-november-2017/en/ (accessed Feb 25, 2020).; 3 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The National Environmental Public Health Tracking Program. 2019. https://www. cdc.gov/nceh/information/tracking_network.htm (accessed Feb 25, 2020).; 4 WHO. Global health risks: mortality and burden of disease attributable to selected major risks. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2009.; 5 Nowbar AN, Gitto M, Howard JP, Francis DP, Al-Lamee R. Mortality from ischemic heart disease. Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes 2019; 12: e005375.; 6 Zhou B, Bentham J, Di Cesare M, et al. Worldwide trends in blood pressure from 1975 to 2015: a pooled analysis of 1479 populationbased measurement studies with 19·1 million participants. Lancet 2017; 389: 37–55.; 7 NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC). Trends in adult bodymass index in 200 countries from 1975 to 2014: a pooled analysis of 1698 population-based measurement studies with 19·2 million participants. Lancet 2016; 387: 1377–96.; 8 Lim SS, Vos T, Flaxman AD, et al. A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet 2012; 380: 2224–60; 9 Forouzanfar MH, Alexander L, Anderson HR, et al. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks in 188 countries, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. Lancet 2015; 386: 2287–323.; 10 Forouzanfar MH, Afshin A, Alexander LT, et al. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. Lancet 2016; 388: 1659–724.; 11 Gakidou E, Afshin A, Abajobir AA, et al. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet 2017; 390: 1345–422; 12 Stanaway JD, Afshin A, Gakidou E, et al. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet 2018; 392: 1923–94; 13 Stevens GA, Alkema L, Black RE, et al. Guidelines for accurate and transparent health estimates reporting: the GATHER statement. Lancet 2016; 388: e19–23.; 14 Murray CJ, Lopez AD. Global mortality, disability, and the contribution of risk factors: Global Burden of Disease Study. Lancet 1997; 349: 1436–42.; 15 Murray CJ, Ezzati M, Lopez AD, Rodgers A, Vander Hoorn S. Comparative quantification of health risks conceptual framework and methodological issues. Popul Health Metr 2003; 1: 1.; 16 World Cancer Research Fund, American Institute for Cancer Research. Food, nutrition, and physical activity, and the prevention of cancer: a global perspective. Washington DC: AICR, 2007; 18 Griswold MG, Fullman N, Hawley C, et al. Alcohol use and burden for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet 2018; 392: 1015–35.; 19 Kurowicka D, Cooke R. Sampling algorithms for generating joint uniform distributions using the vine-copula method. Comput Stat Data Anal 2007; 51: 2889–906.; 20 Curtis V. Explaining the outcomes of the ‘Clean India’ campaign: institutional behaviour and sanitation transformation in India. BMJ Glob Health 2019; 4: e001892.; 21 Quinn A, Bruce N, Puzzolo E, et al. An analysis of efforts to scale up clean household energy for cooking around the world. Energy Sustain Dev 2018; 46: 1–10; 22 Dabadge A, Sreenivas A, Josey A. What has the pradhan mantri ujjwala yojana achieved so far? Econ Polit Wkly 2018; 53: 69–75.; 23 Yach D, McKee M, Lopez AD, Novotny T. Improving diet and physical activity: 12 lessons from controlling tobacco smoking. BMJ 2005; 330: 898–900.; 24 Davis JM, Elias RW, Grant LD. Current issues in human lead exposure and regulation of lead. Neurotoxicology 1993; 14: 15–27.; 25 Dignam T, Kaufmann RB, LeStourgeon L, Brown MJ. Control of lead sources in the United States, 1970–2017: public health progress and current challenges to eliminating lead expsoure. J Public Health Manag Pract 2019; 25: S13–22; 26 Chung-Hall J, Craig L, Gravely S, Sansone N, Fong GT. Impact of the WHO FCTC over the first decade: a global evidence review prepared for the Impact Assessment Expert Group. Tob Control 2019; 28 (suppl 2): 119–28.; 27 United States Environmental Protection Agency. National air quality status and trends through 2007. Research Triangle Park, North Carolina: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, 2008. https://www.epa.gov/ sites/production/files/2017-11/documents/trends_brochure_2007. pdf (accessed Feb 25, 2020); 28 Zalakeviciute R, Rybarczyk Y, López-Villada J, Diaz Suarez MV. Quantifying decade-long effects of fuel and traffic regulations on urban ambient PM2·5 pollution in a mid-size South American city. Atmos Pollut Res 2018; 9: 66–75.; 29 GBD 2019 Diseases and Injuries Collaborators. Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Lancet 2020; 396: 1204–22.; 30 Fullman N, Yearwood J, Abay SM, et al. Measuring performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational locations: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet 2018; 391: 2236–71.; 31 Lopez AD, Adair T. Is the long-term decline in cardiovasculardisease mortality in high-income countries over? Evidence from national vital statistics. Int J Epidemiol 2019; 48: 1815–23; 32 Saiz LC, Gorricho J, Garjón J, Celaya MC, Erviti J, Leache L. Blood pressure targets for the treatment of people with hypertension and cardiovascular disease. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2018; 7: CD010315.; 34 The Lancet. The global syndemic of obesity, undernutrition, and climate change: The Lancet Commission report. Lancet 2019; 393: 791–846; 35 Mozaffarian D, Hao T, Rimm EB, Willett WC, Hu FB. Changes in diet and lifestyle and long-term weight gain in women and men. N Engl J Med 2011; 364: 2392–404.; 36 Willett W, Rockström J, Loken B, et al. Food in the Anthropocene: the EAT–Lancet Commission on healthy diets from sustainable food systems. Lancet 2019; 393: 447–92.; 37 Adesina JA, Piketh SJ, Qhekwana M, Burger R, Language B, Mkhatshwa G. Contrasting indoor and ambient particulate matter concentrations and thermal comfort in coal and non-coal burning households at South Africa Highveld. Sci Total Environ 2020; 699: 134403; 39 Weagle CL, Snider G, Li C, et al. Global sources of fine particulate matter: interpretation of PM2·5 chemical composition observed by SPARTAN using a global chemical transport model. Environ Sci Technol 2018; 52: 11670–81.; 40 Correia AW, Pope CA, Dockery DW, Wang Y, Ezzati M, Dominici F. Effect of air pollution control on life expectancy in the United States: an analysis of 545 U.S. counties for the period from 2000 to 2007. Epidemiology 2013; 24: 23–31.; 41 Dedoussi IC, Eastham SD, Monier E, Barrett SRH. Premature mortality related to United States cross-state air pollution. Nature 2020; 578: 261–65.; 42 Smith, KR, Woodward A, Campbell-Lendrum D, et al. Human health: impacts, adaptation, and co-benefits. In: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field CB, Barros VR, Dokken DJ, et al (eds)]. Cambridge, UK and New York, NY: Cambridge University Press. 2014.; 44 Barreca A, Clay K, Deschenes O, Greenstone M, Shapiro JS. Adapting to climate change: the remarkable decline in the US temperaturemortality relationship over the twentieth century. J Polit Econ 2016; 124: 105–59.; 45 Foreman KJ, Marquez N, Dolgert A, et al. Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 20; 46 Vollset S, Goren E, Yuan C-W, et al. Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. Lancet 2020; 396: 1285–306; 47 Saltelli A, Funtowicz S. The Precautionary Principle: implications for risk management strategies. Int J Occup Med Environ Health 2004; 17: 47–57; 48 Alonso-Coello P, Carrasco-Labra A, Brignardello-Petersen R, et al. A methodological survey of the analysis, reporting and interpretation of Absolute Risk ReductiOn in systematic revieWs (ARROW): a study protocol. Syst Rev 2013; 2: 113.; 49 Nuovo J, Melnikow J, Chang D. Reporting number needed to treat and absolute risk reduction in randomized controlled trials. JAMA 2002; 287: 2813–14.; 50 Millwood IY, Walters RG, Mei XW, et al. Conventional and genetic evidence on alcohol and vascular disease aetiology: a prospective study of 500 000 men and women in China. Lancet 2019; 393: 1831–42.; 51 Adam D. The gene-based hack that is revolutionizing epidemiology. Nature 2019; 576: 196–99.; 52 Burgess S, Davey Smith G. How humans can contribute to Mendelian randomization analyses. Int J Epidemiol 2019; 48: 661–64.; 53 Burgess S, Timpson NJ, Ebrahim S, Davey Smith G. Mendelian randomization: where are we now and where are we going? Int J Epidemiol 2015; 44: 379–88.; https://hdl.handle.net/11323/8114; Corporación Universidad de la Costa; https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/
DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30752-2
Availability: https://hdl.handle.net/11323/8114; https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30752-2; https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/
Rights: CC0 1.0 Universal ; http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/ ; info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess ; http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
Accession Number: edsbas.C9074595
Database: BASE