| Title: |
Tweets, tents, and events: The interplay between street protests and social media |
| Authors: |
Bastos, M.T.; Mercea, D; Charpentier, A. |
| Publisher Information: |
Zenodo |
| Publication Year: |
2017 |
| Collection: |
Zenodo |
| Subject Terms: |
Social Media; Contentious Politics; Granger causality test; Occupy; Indignados; Vinegar Protests |
| Description: |
Recent protests have fuelled deliberations about the extent to which social media ignites popular uprisings. In this paper we use time-series data of Twitter, Facebook, and onsite protests to assess the Granger-causality between social media streams and onsite developments at the Indignados, Occupy, and Brazilian Vinegar protests. After applying a Gaussianization procedure to the data, we found that contentious communication on Twitter and Facebook forecasted onsite protest during the Indignados and Occupy protests, with bidirectional Granger-causality between online and onsite protest in the Occupy series. Conversely, the Vinegar demonstrations presented Granger-causality between Facebook and Twitter communication, and separately between protestors and injuries/arrests onsite. We conclude that the effective forecasting of protest activity likely varies across different instances of political unrest. |
| Document Type: |
article in journal/newspaper |
| Language: |
unknown |
| Relation: |
https://zenodo.org/records/583658; oai:zenodo.org:583658; https://doi.org/10.1111/jcom.12145 |
| DOI: |
10.1111/jcom.12145 |
| Availability: |
https://doi.org/10.1111/jcom.12145; https://zenodo.org/records/583658 |
| Rights: |
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International ; cc-by-4.0 ; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode |
| Accession Number: |
edsbas.D4B79F4A |
| Database: |
BASE |