| Title: |
Global, Regional, and National Age-sex Specific All-cause and Cause-specific Mortality for 240 Causes of Death, 1990-2013: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 |
| Authors: |
Naghavi, M; Wang, H; Lozano, R; Davis, A; Liang, X; Zhou, M; Vollset, SE; Ozgoren, AA; Abdalla, S; Abd-Allah, F; Aziz, MIA; Abera, SF; Aboyans, V; Abraham, B; Abraham, JP; Abuabara, KE; Abubakar, I; Abu-Raddad, LJ; Abu-Rmeileh, NME; Achoki, T; Adelekan, A; Ademi, Z; Adofo, K; Adou, AK; Adsuar, JC; Ärnlöv, J; Agardh, EE; Akena, D; Al Khabouri, MJ; Alasfoor, D; Albittar, M; Alegretti, MA; Aleman, AV; Alemu, ZA; Alfonso-Cristancho, R; Alhabib, S; Ali, MK; Ali, R; Alla, F; Al Lami, F; Allebeck, P; AlMazroa, MA; Al-Shahi Salman, R; Alsharif, U; Alvarez, E; Alviz-Guzman, N; Amankwaa, AA; Amare, AT; Ameli, O; Amini, H; Ammar, W; Anderson, HR; Anderson, BO; Antonio, CAT; Anwari, P; Apfel, H; Cunningham, SA; Arsenijevic, VSA; Artaman, A; Asad, MM; Asghar, RJ; Assadi, R; Atkins, LS; Atkinson, C; Badawi, A; Bahit, MC; Bakfalouni, T; Balakrishnan, K; Balalla, S; Banerjee, A; Barber, RM; Barker-Collo, SL; Barquera, S; Barregard, L; Barrero, LH; Barrientos-Gutierrez, T; Basu, A; Basu, S; Basulaiman, MO; Beardsley, J; Bedi, N; Beghi, E; Bekele, T; Bell, ML; Benjet, C; Bennett, DA; Bensenor, IM; Benzian, H; Bertozzi-Villa, A; Beyene, TJ; Bhala, N; Bhalla, A; Bhutta, ZA; Bikbov, B; Abdulhak, AB; Biryukov, S; Blore, JD; Blyth, FM; Bohensky, MA; Borges, G; Bose, D; Boufous, S; Bourne, RR; Boyers, LN; Brainin, M; Brauer, M; Brayne, CEG; Brazinova, A; Breitborde, N; Brenner, H; Briggs, ADM; Brown, JC; Brugha, TS; Buckle, GC; Bui, LN; Bukhman, G; Burch, M; Campos Nonato, IR; Carabin, H; Cárdenas, R; Carapetis, J; Carpenter, DO; Caso, V; Castanda-Orjuela, CA; Castro, RE; Catalá-López, F; Cavalleri, F; Chang, J-C; Charlson, FC; Che, X; Chen, H; Chen, Y; Chen, JS; Chen, Z; Chiang, PP-C; Chimed-Ochir, O; Chowdhury, R; Christensen, H; Christophi, CA; Chuang, T-W; Chugh, SS; Cirillo, M; Coates, MM; Coffeng, LE; Coggeshall, MS; Cohen, A; Colistro, V; Colquhoun, SM; Colomar, M; Cooper, LT; Cooper, C; Coppola, LM; Cortinovis, M; Courville, K; Cowie, BC; Criqui, MH; Crump, JA; Cuevas-Nasu, L; Da Costa Leite, I; Dabhadkar, KC; Dandona, L; Dandona, R; Dansereau, E; Dargan, PI; Dayama, A; De la Cruz-Góngora, V; De La Vega, SF; De Leo, D; Degenhardt, L; Del Pozo-Cruz, B; Dellavalle, RP; Deribe, K; Des Jarlais, DC; Dessalegn, M; DeVeber, GA; Dharmaratne, SD; Dherani, M; Diaz-Ortega, J-L; Diaz-Torne, C; Dicker, D; Ding, EL; Dokova, K; Dorsey, ER; Driscoll, TR; Duan, L; Duber, HC; Durrani, AM; Ebel, BE; Edmond, KM; Ellenbogen, RG; Elshrek, Y; Ermakov, SP; Erskine, HE; Eshrati, B; Esteghamati, A; Estep, K; Fürst, T; Fahimi, S; Fahrion, AS; Faraon, EJA; Farzadfar, F; Fay, DFJ; Feigl, AB; Feigin, VL; Felicio, MM; Fereshtehnejad, S-M; Fernandes, JG; Ferrari, AJ; Fleming, TD; Foigt, N; Foreman, K; Forouzanfar, MH; Fowkes, FGR; Paleo, UF; Franklin, RC; Futran, ND; Gaffikin, L; Gambashidze, K; Gankpé, FG; Garc-Guerra, FA; Garcia, AC; Geleijnse, JM; Gessner, BD; Gibney, KB; Gillum, RF; Gilmour, S; Ginawi, IAM; Giroud, M; Glaser, EL; Goenka, S; Dantes, HG; Gona, P; Gonzalez-Medina, D; Guinovart, C; Gupta, R; Gosselin, RA; Gotay, CC; Goto, A; Gouda, HN; Graetz, N; Greenwell, KF; Gugnani, HC; Gunnell, D; Gutiiérez, RA; Haagsma, J; Hafezi-Nejad, N; Hagan, H; Hagstromer, M; Halasa, YA; Hamadeh, RR; Hamavid, H; Hammami, M; Hancock, J; Hankey, GJ; Hansen, GM; Harb, HL; Harewood, H; Haro, JM; Havmoeller, R; Hay, RJ; Hay, SI; Hedayati, MT; Pi, IBH; Heuton, KR; Heydarpour, P; Higashi, H; Hijar, M; Hoek, HW; Hoffman, HJ; Hornberger, JC; Hosgood, HD; Hossain, M; Hotez, PJ; Hoy, DG; Hsairi, M; Hu, G; Huang, JJ; Huffman, MD; Hughes, AJ; Husseini, A; Huynh, C; Iannarone, M; Iburg, KM; Idrisov, BT; Ikeda, N; Innos, K; Inoue, M; Islami, F; Ismayilova, S; Jacobsen, KH; Jassal, S; Jayaraman, SP; Jensen, PN; Jha, V; Jiang, G; Jiang, Y; Jonas, JB; Joseph, J; Juel, K; Kabagambe, EK; Kan, H; Karch, A; Karimkhani, C; Karthikeyan, G; Kassebaum, N; Kaul, A; Kawakami, N; Kazanjan, K; Kazi, DS; Kemp, AH; Kengne, AP; Keren, A; Kereselidze, M; Khader, YS; Ali Hassan Khalifa, SE; Khan, EA; Khan, G; Khang, Y-H; Kieling, C; Kinfu, Y; Kinge, JM; Kim, D; Kim, S; Kivipelto, M; Knibbs, L; Knudsen, AK; Kokubo, Y; Kosen, S; Kotagal, M; Kravchenko, MA; Krishnaswami, S; Krueger, H; Defo, BK; Kuipers, EJ; Kucuk Bicer, B; Kulkarni, C; Kulkarni, VS; Kumar, K; Kumar, RB; Kwan, GF; Kyu, H; Lai, T; Balaji, AL; Lalloo, R; Lallukka, T; Lam, H; Lan, Q; Lansingh, VC; Larson, HJ; Larsson, A; Lavados, PM; Lawrynowicz, AEB; Leasher, JL; Lee, J-T; Leigh, J; Leinsalu, M; Leung, R; Levitz, C; Li, B; Li, Y; Liddell, C; Lim, SS; De Lima, GMF; Lind, ML; Lipshultz, SE; Liu, S; Liu, Y; Lloyd, BK; Lofgren, KT; Logroscino, G; London, SJ; Lortet-Tieulent, J; Lotufo, PA; Lucas, RM; Lunevicius, R; Lyons, RA; Ma, S; Pedro Machado, VM; MacIntyre, MF; Mackay, MT; MacLachlan, JH; Magis-Rodriguez, C; Mahdi, AA; Majdan, M; Malekzadeh, R; Mangalam, S; Mapoma, CC; Marape, M; Marcenes, W; Margono, C; Marks, GB; Marzan, MB; Masci, JR; Mashal, MT; Masiye, F; Mason-Jones, AJ; Matzopolous, R; Mayosi, BM; Mazorodze, TT; McGrath, JJ; McKay, AC; McKee, M; McLain, A; Meaney, PA; Mehndiratta, MM; Mejia-Rodriguez, F; Melaku, YA; Meltzer, M; Memish, ZA; Mendoza, W; Mensah, GA; Meretoja, A; Mhimbira, FA; Miller, TR; Mills, EJ; Misganaw, A; Mishra, SK; Mock, CN; Moffitt, TE; Ibrahim, NM; Mohammad, KA; Mokdad, AH; Mola, GL; Monasta, L; De La Cruz Monis, J; Hernandez, JCM; Montico, M; Montine, TJ; Mooney, MD; Moore, AR; Moradi-Lakeh, M; Moran, AE; Mori, R; Moschandreas, J; Moturi, WN; Moyer, ML; Mozaffarian, D; Mueller, UO; Mukaigawara, M; Mullany, EC; Murray, J; Mustapha, A; Naghavi, P; Naheed, A; Naidoo, KS; Naldi, L; Nand, D; Nangia, V; Narayan, KMV; Nash, D; Nasher, J; Nejjari, C; Nelson, RG; Neuhouser, M; Neupane, SP; Newcomb, PA; Newman, L; Newton, CR; Ng, M; Ngalesoni, FN; Nguyen, G; Nguyen, NTT; Nisar, MI; Nolte, S; Norheim, OF; Norman, RE; Norrving, B; Nyakarahuka, L; Odell, S; O'Donnell, M; Ohkubo, T; Ohno, SL; Olusanya, BO; Omer, SB; Opio, JN; Orisakwe, OE; Ortblad, KF; Ortiz, A; Otayza, MLK; Pain, AW; Pandian, JD; Panelo, CI; Panniyammakal, J; Papachristou, C; Paternina Caicedo, AJ; Patten, SB; Patton, GC; Paul, VK; Pavlin, B; Pearce, N; Pellegrini, CA; Pereira, DM; Peresson, SC; Perez-Padilla, R; Perez-Ruiz, FP; Perico, N; Pervaiz, A; Pesudovs, K; Peterson, CB; Petzold, M; Phillips, BK; Phillips, DE; Phillips, MR; Plass, D; Piel, FB; Poenaru, D; Polinder, S; Popova, S; Poulton, RG; Pourmalek, F; Prabhakaran, D; Qato, D; Quezada, AD; Quistberg, DA; Rabito, F; Rafay, A; Rahimi, K; Rahimi-Movaghar, V; Rahman, SUR; Raju, M; Rakovac, I; Rana, SM; Refaat, A; Remuzzi, G; Ribeiro, AL; Ricci, S; Riccio, PM; Richardson, L; Richardus, JH; Roberts, B; Roberts, DA; Robinson, M; Roca, A; Rodriguez, A; Rojas-Rueda, D; Ronfani, L; Room, R; Roth, GA; Rothenbacher, D; Rothstein, DH; Rowley, JTF; Roy, N; Ruhago, GM; Rushton, L; Sambandam, S; Søreide, K; Saeedi, MY; Saha, S; Sahathevan, R; Sahraian, MA; Sahle, BW; Salomon, JA; Salvo, D; Samonte, GMJ; Sampson, U; Sanabria, JR; Sandar, L; Santos, IS; Satpathy, M; Sawhney, M; Saylan, M; Scarborough, P; Schöttker, B; Schmidt, JC; Schneider, IJC; Schumacher, AE; Schwebel, DC; Scott, JG; Sepanlou, SG; Servan-Mori, EE; Shackelford, K; Shaheen, A; Shahraz, S; Shakh-Nazarova, M; Shangguan, S; She, J; Sheikhbahaei, S; Shepard, DS; Shibuya, K; Shinohara, Y; Shishani, K; Shiue, I; Shivakoti, R; Shrime, MG; Sigfusdottir, ID; Silberberg, DH; Silva, AP; Simard, EP; Sindi, S; Singh, JA; Singh, L; Sioson, E; Skirbekk, V; Sliwa, K; So, S; Soljak, M; Soneji, S; Soshnikov, SS; Sposato, LA; Sreeramareddy, CT; Stanaway, JD; Stathopoulou, VK; Steenland, K; Stein, C; Steiner, C; Stevens, A; Stöckl, H; Straif, K; Stroumpoulis, K; Sturua, L; Sunguya, BF; Swaminathan, S; Swaroop, M; Sykes, BL; Tabb, KM; Takahashi, K; Talongwa, RT; Tan, F; Tanne, D; Tanner, M; Tavakkoli, M; Ao, BT; Teixeira, CM; Templin, T; Tenkorang, EY; Terkawi, AS; Thomas, BA; Thorne-Lyman, AL; Thrift, AG; Thurston, GD; Tillmann, T; Tirschwell, DL; Tleyjeh, IM; Tonelli, M; Topouzis, F; Towbin, JA; Toyoshima, H; Traebert, J; Tran, BX; Truelsen, T; Trujillo, U; Trillini, M; Dimbuene, ZT; Tsilimbaris, M; Tuzcu, EM; Ubeda, C; Uchendu, US; Ukwaja, KN; Undurraga, EA; Vallely, AJ; Van De Vijver, S; Van Gool, CH; Varakin, YY; Vasankari, TJ; Vasconcelos, AMN; Vavilala, MS; Venketasubramanian, N; Vijayakumar, L; Villalpando, S; Violante, FS; Vlassov, VV; Wagner, GR; Waller, SG; Wang, J; Wang, L; Wang, X; Wang, Y; Warouw, TS; Weichenthal, S; Weiderpass, E; Weintraub, RG; Wenzhi, W; Werdecker, A; Wessells, KRR; Westerman, R; Whiteford, HA; Wilkinson, JD; Williams, TN; Woldeyohannes, SM; Wolfe, CDA; Wolock, TM; Woolf, AD; Wong, JQ; Wright, JL; Wulf, S; Wurtz, B; Xu, G; Yang, YC; Yano, Y; Yatsuya, H; Yip, P; Yonemoto, N; Yoon, S-J; Younis, M; Yu, C; Jin, KY; El Sayed Zaki, M; Zamakhshary, MF; Zeeb, H; Zhang, Y; Zhao, Y; Zheng, Y; Zhu, J; Zhu, S; Zonies, D; Zou, XN; Zunt, JR; Vos, T; Lopez, AD; Murray, CJL; Alcalá-Cerra, G; Balala, S; Chang, C-C; Gosslin, RA; Hu, H; Karam, N; Sabin, N; Temesgen, AM |
| Publisher Information: |
Elsevier |
| Publication Year: |
2015 |
| Collection: |
Auckland University of Technology: AUT Scholarly Commons |
| Description: |
Background Up-to-date evidence on levels and trends for age-sex-specific all-cause and cause-specific mortality is essential for the formation of global, regional, and national health policies. In the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (GBD 2013) we estimated yearly deaths for 188 countries between 1990, and 2013. We used the results to assess whether there is epidemiological convergence across countries. Methods We estimated age-sex-specific all-cause mortality using the GBD 2010 methods with some refinements to improve accuracy applied to an updated database of vital registration, survey, and census data. We generally estimated cause of death as in the GBD 2010. Key improvements included the addition of more recent vital registration data for 72 countries, an updated verbal autopsy literature review, two new and detailed data systems for China, and more detail for Mexico, UK, Turkey, and Russia. We improved statistical models for garbage code redistribution. We used six different modelling strategies across the 240 causes; cause of death ensemble modelling (CODEm) was the dominant strategy for causes with sufficient information. Trends for Alzheimer's disease and other dementias were informed by meta-regression of prevalence studies. For pathogen-specific causes of diarrhoea and lower respiratory infections we used a counterfactual approach. We computed two measures of convergence (inequality) across countries: the average relative difference across all pairs of countries (Gini coefficient) and the average absolute difference across countries. To summarise broad findings, we used multiple decrement life-tables to decompose probabilities of death from birth to exact age 15 years, from exact age 15 years to exact age 50 years, and from exact age 50 years to exact age 75 years, and life expectancy at birth into major causes. For all quantities reported, we computed 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). We constrained cause-specific fractions within each age-sex-country-year group to sum to all-cause mortality based ... |
| Document Type: |
article in journal/newspaper |
| File Description: |
application/pdf |
| Language: |
English |
| Relation: |
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140673614616822?via%3Dihub#cesec340; https://hdl.handle.net/10292/12908 |
| DOI: |
10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61682-2 |
| Availability: |
https://hdl.handle.net/10292/12908; https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61682-2 |
| Rights: |
Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in (see Citation). Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. The definitive version was published in (see Citation). The original publication is available at (see Publisher's Version). ; OpenAccess |
| Accession Number: |
edsbas.DC483052 |
| Database: |
BASE |