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A framework for the definition and interpretation of the use of surrogate endpoints in interventional trials

Title: A framework for the definition and interpretation of the use of surrogate endpoints in interventional trials
Authors: Ciani, O; Manyara, AM; Davies, P; Stewart, D; Weir, CJ; Young, AE; Blazeby, J; Butcher, NJ; Bujkiewicz, S; Chan, A-W; Dawoud, D; Offringa, M; Ouwens, M; Hróbjartssson, A; Amstutz, A; Bertolaccini, L; Bruno, VD; Devane, D; Faria, CDCM; Gilbert, PB; Harris, R; Lassere, M; Marinelli, L; Markham, S; Powers, JH; Rezaei, Y; Richert, L; Schwendicke, F; Tereshchenko, LG; Thoma, A; Turan, A; Worrall, A; Christensen, R; Collins, GS; Ross, JS; Taylor, RS
Publisher Information: Elsevier
Publication Year: 2024
Collection: Oxford University Research Archive (ORA)
Description: Background: Interventional trials that evaluate treatment effects using surrogate endpoints have become increasingly common. This paper describes four linked empirical studies and the development of a framework for defining, interpreting and reporting surrogate endpoints in trials. Methods: As part of developing the CONSORT (Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials) and SPIRIT (Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials) extensions for randomised trials reporting surrogate endpoints, we undertook a scoping review, e-Delphi study, consensus meeting, and a web survey to examine current definitions and stakeholder (including clinicians, trial investigators, patients and public partners, journal editors, and health technology experts) interpretations of surrogate endpoints as primary outcome measures in trials. Findings: Current surrogate endpoint definitional frameworks are inconsistent and unclear. Surrogate endpoints are used in trials as a substitute of the treatment effects of an intervention on the target outcome(s) of ultimate interest, events measuring how patients feel, function, or survive. Traditionally the consideration of surrogate endpoints in trials has focused on biomarkers (e.g., HDL cholesterol, blood pressure, tumour response), especially in the medical product regulatory setting. Nevertheless, the concept of surrogacy in trials is potentially broader. Intermediate outcomes that include a measure of function or symptoms (e.g., angina frequency, exercise tolerance) can also be used as substitute for target outcomes (e.g., all-cause mortality)—thereby acting as surrogate endpoints. However, we found a lack of consensus among stakeholders on accepting and interpreting intermediate outcomes in trials as surrogate endpoints or target outcomes. In our assessment, patients and health technology assessment experts appeared more likely to consider intermediate outcomes to be surrogate endpoints than clinicians and regulators. Interpretation: There is an urgent need for better ...
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
Language: English
Relation: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.102283
DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.102283
Availability: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.102283; https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:ae74c482-ebe4-408e-b7ae-e43b9bed9cb4
Rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess ; CC Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives (CC BY-NC-ND)
Accession Number: edsbas.E41DA190
Database: BASE