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Inverse Marginalisation for Safely Expanding Bayesian Networks

Title: Inverse Marginalisation for Safely Expanding Bayesian Networks
Authors: Kwisthout, Johan; Renooij, Silja; Sub Intelligent Systems; Sauerwald, Kai; Thimm, Matthias
Publication Year: 2025
Subject Terms: Bayesian networks; Marginalisation; Safe expansion; Taverne; Theoretical Computer Science; General Computer Science
Description: After clinical decision support systems are validated and deployed, one is often reluctant to update the model with new insights or data, especially if this means that re-certification is required. In this paper we address this issue in updating Bayesian networks with new domain knowledge. More specifically, we introduce and study the concept of safe inverse marginalisation, an operation that allows for adding new variables to a network without affecting the distribution over the original variables. As such, the additional efforts required for validation and certification can be limited, re-using as much as possible the analyses and documentation from the original model. To support the process of safely extending a Bayesian network, we present an algorithm that flags potentially unsafe updates.
Document Type: book part
File Description: application/pdf
Language: English
ISSN: 0302-9743
Relation: https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/483143
Availability: https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/483143
Rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
Accession Number: edsbas.E72B76C4
Database: BASE