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Revising the ABIDE MCI to dementia prediction model for automated cerebrospinal fluid assays

Title: Revising the ABIDE MCI to dementia prediction model for automated cerebrospinal fluid assays
Authors: van der Veere, Pieter; van Harten, Argonde; van Maurik, Ingrid; Teunissen, Charlotte; Barkhof, Frederik; Vos, Stephanie; Froelich, Lutz; Kornhuber, Johannes; Wiltfang, Jens; Maier, Wolfgang; Peters, Oliver; Rüther, Eckart; Frisoni, Giovanni; Spiru, Luiza; Freund-Levi, Yvonne; Wallin, Åsa K; Hampel, Harald; Tsolaki, Magda; Kłoszewska, Iwona; Mecocci, Patrizia; Vellas, Bruno; Lovestone, Simon; Galluzzi, Samantha; Herukka, Sanna-Kaisa; Santana, Isabel; Baldeiras, I.; de Mendonca, Alexandre; Silva, Dina; Chetelat, Gael; Poisnel, Géraldine; Visser, Pieter Jelle; Johnson, Sterling; Stormrud, Erik; Hansson, Oskar; Palmqvist, Sebastian; Piñol Ripoll, Gerard; Berkhof, Johannes; van der Flier, Wiesje
Publisher Information: Wiley
Publication Year: 2026
Collection: Universitat de Lleida: Repositori Obert UdL
Subject Terms: Alzheimer's disease; Automated cerebrospinal fluid assays; Cerebrospinal fluid; Dementia; Mild cognitive dementia; Prediction
Description: Automated cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarker assays have largely replaced manual immunoassays for measuring amyloid pathology in CSF. We refitted and validated the ABIDE model, predicting progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to dementia, with CSF measurements from the automated Elecsys platform. We included 2413 MCI participants (998 [41%] amyloid-positive) from seven observational cohorts. Elecsys was used in 958 (40%) participants. The parameters of the previous ABIDE Cox model were re-estimated. Model discrimination and calibration were evaluated with leave-one-cohort-out cross-validation. During follow-up, 1034 (42%; 585 [58%] amyloid-positive) participants developed dementia. Discrimination was good with Harrell's C of 0.70 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.66-0.73). Calibration was good in the total population and amyloid-positive subgroup, with substantial predicted progression risks for all amyloid-positive participants. We refitted the ABIDE model, predicting MCI to dementia progression, with automated CSF measurements. The model was well calibrated in amyloid-positive patients and may support clinical discussions regarding ATTs.
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
Language: English
Relation: Reproducció del document publicat a https://doi.org/10.1002/alz.71192; Alzheimer's and Dementia, 2026, vol. 22, núm. 2, 71192; https://doi.org/10.1002/alz.71192; https://hdl.handle.net/10459.1/469733
DOI: 10.1002/alz.71192
Availability: https://hdl.handle.net/10459.1/469733; https://doi.org/10.1002/alz.71192
Rights: cc-by, (c) Pieter van der Veere et al., 2026 ; Attribution 4.0 International ; info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess ; http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Accession Number: edsbas.EC952906
Database: BASE