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Urbanisation is related to the prevalence of threatened species on islands across the globe

Title: Urbanisation is related to the prevalence of threatened species on islands across the globe
Authors: Cardoso, M.R.; Bastidas-Urrutia, A.M.; Frac, K.; Hof, C.; Kreft, H.; Albrecht, J.; Böhning-Gaese, Katrin; Fritz, S.A.
Source: ISSN: 1466-822X.
Publisher Information: Wiley; Global Ecology and Biogeography 34 (12);; e70125
Publication Year: 2025
Subject Terms: Anthromes; birds; GMMC; human impacts; island biogeography; threatened species
Description: Aim: To assess how environmental characteristics and human impacts contribute to the global prevalence of threatened bird species on islands (the ratio of threatened to non-threatened species per island), and to identify which types of land use are most strongly associated with extinction risk on islands.Location: Global.Time Period: Present-day extant species and land-use patterns.Major Taxa Studied: Terrestrial birds.Methods: We compiled bird species occurrence and conservation status data from BirdLife International and eBird, and environmental and land-use variables for islands. We grouped nine predictor variables into three categories: island characteristics (e.g., area, isolation, climate), human impacts (urban cover, cropland, human appropriation of NPP (HANPP)), and wildlands (intact habitat). We used model selection and BIC-based model weights to evaluate the relative support for each variable group and assessed which factors best explained the prevalence of threatened species.Results: Models including both island characteristics and human impact variables explained similar to 40% of the variation in the prevalence of threatened bird species across islands. The strongest predictor overall was island type: threatened species prevalence was significantly higher on oceanic islands than on continental islands. Among human impact variables, urban land cover had the most substantial effect, with threatened species prevalence up to five times greater on highly urbanised islands.Main Conclusions: The prevalence of currently threatened species across islands is shaped by the interplay between environmental conditions and anthropogenic pressures. Our findings highlight urbanisation as a particularly potent driver of extinction risk, especially on oceanic islands. We suggest that island biogeography frameworks be updated to explicitly account for human-driven impacts, as island ecosystems are increasingly reshaped by global land-use transformations.
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
File Description: application/pdf
Language: English
Relation: https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=31971; https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/geb.70125
DOI: 10.1111/geb.70125
Availability: https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=31971; https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.70125
Rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Accession Number: edsbas.F0BEB869
Database: BASE