| Title: |
Population and fertility by age and sex for 195 countries and territories, 1950-2017: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 |
| Authors: |
Murray, Christopher J. L.; Callender, Charlton S. K. H.; Kulikoff, Xie Rachel; Srinivasan, Vinay; Abate, Degu; Abate, Kalkidan Hassen; Abay, Solomon M.; Abbasi, Nooshin; Abbastabar, Hedayat; Abdela, Jental; Abdelalim, Ahmed; Abdel-Rahman, Omar; Abdi, Alireza; Abdoli, Nasrin; Abdollahpour, Ibrahim; Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi; Abebe, Haftom Temesgen; Abebe, Molla; Abebe, Zegeye; Abebo, Teshome Abuka; Abejie, Ayenew Negesse; Aboyans, Victor; Abraha, Haftom Niguse; Abreu, Daisy Maria Xavier; Abrham, Aklilu Roba; Abu-Raddad, Laith Jamal; Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M. E.; Accrombessi, Manfred Mario Kolkou; Acharya, Pawan; Adamu, Abdu A.; Adebayo, Oladimeji M.; Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi; Adekanmbi, Victor; Adetokunboh, Olatunji O.; Adhena, Beyene Meressa; Adhikari, Tara Ballav; Adib, Mina C.; Adou, Arsene Kouablan; Adsuar, Jose C.; Afarideh, Mohsen; Afshin, Ashkan; Agarwal, Gina; Agesa, Kareha M.; Aghayan, Sargis Aghasi; Agrawal, Sutapa; Ahmadi, Alireza; Ahmadi, Mehdi; Ahmed, Muktar Beshir; Ahmed, Sayem; Aichour, Amani Nidhal; Aichour, Ibtihel; Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine; Akanda, Ali S.; Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil; Akibu, Mohammed; Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola; Akinyemiju, Tomi; Akseer, Nadia; Alahdab, Fares; Al-Aly, Ziyad; Alam, Khurshid; Alebel, Animut; Aleman, Alicia V.; Alene, Kefyalew Addis; Al-Eyadhy, Ayman; Ali, Raghib; Alijanzadeh, Mehran; Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza; Aljunid, Syed Mohamed; Alkerwi, Ala'a; Alla, Francois; Allebeck, Peter; Almasi, Ali; Alonso, Jordi; Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M.; Alsharif, Ubai; Altirkawi, Khalid; Alvis-Guzman, Nelson; Amare, Azmeraw T.; Ammar, Walid; Anber, Nahla Flamed; Andrei, Catalina Liliatta; Androudi, Sofia; Animut, Megbant Delialkie; Ansari, Hossein; Ansha, Mustafa Geleto; Antonio, Carl Abelardo T.; Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw; Aremu, Olatunde; Areri, Habtamu Abera; Arian, Nicholas; Arnlov, Johan; Artaman, Al; Aryal, Krishna K.; Asayesh, Hamid; Asfaw, Ephrem Tsegay; Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal; Assadi, Reza; Atey, Tesfay Mehari Mehari; Afique, Suleman; Atteraya, Madhu Sudhan; Ausloos, Marcel; Avokpaho, Euripide F. C. A.; Awasthi, Ashish; Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala; Ayele, Yohanes; Ayer, Rakesh; Ayuk, Tambe B.; Azzopardi, Peter S.; Babalola, Tesleem Kayode; Babazadeh, Arefeh; Radali, Hamid; Badawi, Alaa; Bali, Ayele Geleto; Ranach, Maciej; Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn; Barnighausen, Till Winfried; Barrero, Lope H.; Basaleem, Huda; Bassat, Quique; Basu, Arindam; Baune, Bernhard T.; Baynes, Habtamu Wondifraw; Beghi, Ettore; Behzadifar, Masoud; Belazadifar, Meysam; Bekele, Bayu Begashaw; Belachew, Abate Bekele; Belay, Aregawi Gebreyesus; Belay, Ezra; Belay, Saba Abrahant; Belay, Yihalem Abebe; Bell, Michelle L.; Bello, Aminu K.; Bennett, Derrick A.; Bensenor, Isabela M.; Bergeron, Gilles; Berhane, Adugnaw; Berman, Adam E.; Bernabe, Eduardo; Bernstein, Robert S.; Bertolacci, Gregory J.; Beuran, Mircea; Bhattarai, Suraj; Bhaumik, Soumyadeep; Bhutia, Zulltiqar A.; Biadgo, Belete; Bijani, Ali; Rikbov, Boris; Bililign, Nigus; Bin Sayeed, Muhammad Shandaat; Birlik, Sait Mentes; Birungi, Charles; Diswas, Tuhin; Bizuneh, Hailemichael; Bleyer, Archie; Basara, Berrak Bora; Bosetti, Cristina; Boufous, Soufiane; Brady, Oliver J.; Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi; Brainin, Michael; Brazinova, Alexandra; Breitborde, Nicholas J. K.; Brenner, Hermann; Brewer, Jetty D.; Briant, Paul Svitil; Britton, Gabrielle; Burstein, Roy; Busse, Reinhard; Riff, Zahid A.; Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero; Campos-Nonato, Ismael R.; Rincon, Julio Cesar Campuzano; Cano, Jorge; Car, Mate; Cardenas, Rosario; Carrero, Juan J.; Carvalho, Felix; Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A.; Rivas, Jacqueline Castillo; Castro, Franz; Catala-Lopez, Ferran; Cavin, Alanur; Cerin, Ester; Chalek, Julian; Chang, Hsing-Yi; Chang, Jung-Chen; Chattopadhyay, Aparajita; Chaturvedi, Pankaj; Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia; Chin, Ken Lee; Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe; Chitheer, Abdulaal; Choi, Jee-Young J.; Chowdhury, Rajiv; Christopher, Devasahayam J.; Cicuttini, Flavia M.; Ciobanu, Liliana G.; Cirillo, Massimo; Claro, Rafael M.; Collado-Mateo, Daniel; Constantin, Maria-Magdalena; Conti, Sara; Cooper, Cyrus; Cooper, Leslie Trumbull; Cornaby, Leslie; Cortesi, Paolo Angelo; Cortinovis, Monica; Costa, Megan; Cromwell, Elizabeth A.; Crowe, Christopher Stephen; Cukelj, Petra; Cunningham, Matthew; Daba, Alemneh Kabeta; Dachew, Berihun Assefa; Dandona, Lalit; Dandona, Rakhi; Dargan, Paul I.; Daryani, Ahmad; Das Gupta, Raja T.; Das Neves, Jose; Dasa, Tamirat Tesfaye; Dash, Aditya Prasad; Weaver, Nicole Davis; Davitoiu, Dragos Virgil; Daffetov, Kairat; De Leo, Diego; De Neve, Jan Walter; Degefa, Meaza Ginna; Degenhardt, Louisa; Degfie, Tizta Tilahun; Deiparine, Selina; Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam; Demtsu, Eakin; Denova-Gutierrez, Edgar; Deribe, Kebede; Dervenis, Nikolaos; Des Jarlais, Don C.; Dessie, Getenet Ayalew; Dharniaratne, Samath D.; Dhimal, Meghnath; Dicker, Daniel; Ding, Eric L.; Dinsa, Ginnaye Deye; Djalalinia, Shirin; Huyen Phuc Do; Dokova, Klara; Doku, David Teye; Dolan, Kate A.; Doyle, Kerrie E.; Driscoll, Tint R.; Dubey, Manisha; Dubljanin, Eleonora; Duken, Eyasu Neff; Duraes, Andre R.; Ebrahimpour, Soheil; Edvardsson, David; El Bcheraoui, Charbel; El-Khatib, Ziad; Elyazar, Iqbal Rf; Enayati, Ahmadali; Endries, Aman Yesuf; Ermakov, Sergey Petrovich; Eshrati, Babak; Eskandarieh, Sharareh; Esmaeili, Reza; Esteghamati, Alireza; Esteghamati, Sadaf; Estep, Kara; Fakhim, Hamed; Farag, Tamer; Faramarzi, Mahbobeh; Fareed, Mohammad; Farinha, Carla Sofia E. Sa; Faro, Andre; Farvid, Maryam S.; Farzadfar, Farshad; Farzaei, Mohammad Hosein; Fay, Kairsten A.; Fazeli, Mir Sohail; Feigin, Valery I.; Feigl, Andrea B.; Feizy, Fariba; Fenny, Ama P.; Fentahun, Netsanet; Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad; Femandes, Eduarda; Feyissa, Garumma Tolu; Filip, Irina; Finegold, Samuel; Fischer, Florian; Flor, Luisa Sorio; Foigt, Nataliya A.; Foreman, Kyle J.; Fornari, Carla; Furst, Thomas; Fukumoto, Takeshi; Fuller, John E.; Fullman, Nancy; Gakidou, Emmanuela; Gallus, Silvano; Gamkrelidze, Amiran; Ganji, Morsaleh; Gankpe, Fortune Gbetoho; Garcia, Gregory N.; Garcia-Gordillo, Miguel A.; Gebre, Abadi Kahsu; Gebre, Teshome; Gebregergs, Gebremedhin Berhe; Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde; Gebremedhin, Amanttel Tesfay; Gelano, Tilayie Feto; Gelaw, Yalemzewod Assefa; Geleijnse, 'Johanna N.; Genova-Maleras, Ricard; Gething, Peter; Gezae, Kebede Embaye; Ghadami, Mohammad Rasoul; Ghadimi, Reza; Ghadiri, Keyghobad; Falavarjani, Khalil Ghasemi; Ghasemi-Kasman, Maryam; Ghiasvand, Hesam; Ghimire, Mamata; Ghoshal, Aloke Gopal; Gill, Paramjit Singh; Gill, Tiffany K.; Giussani, Giorgia; Gnedovskaya, Elena V.; Goli, Srinivas; Gomez, Ricardo Santiago; Gomez-Dantes, Hector; Gona, Philimon N.; Goodridge, Amador; Gopalani, Sameer Vali; Goulart, Alessandra C.; Niegia, Barbara; Goulart, Garcia; Grada, Ayman; Grosso, Giuseppe; Gugnani, Harish Chander C.; Guo, Jingwen; Guo, Yuming; Gupta, Prakash C.; Gupta, Rahul; Gupta, Rajeev; Gupta, Tanush; Haagsma, Juanita A.; Hachinski, Vladimir; Hafezi-Nejad, Nima; Hagos, Tekleberhan B.; Hailegiyorgis, Tewodros Tesfa; Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa; Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin; Haj-Mirzaian, Arya; Hamadeh, Randah R.; Hamidi, Sarver; Handal, Alexis J.; Hankey, Graeme J.; Hao, Yuantao; Harb, Hilda I.; Haririan, Hamidreza; Haro, Josep Maria; Hasan, Mehedi; Hassankhani, Hadi; Hassen, Hamid Yimam; Havrnoeller, Rasmus; Hay, Simon I.; He, Yihua; Hedayatizadeh-Omran, Akbar; Hegazy, Mohamed I.; Heibati, Behzad; Heidari, Behnam; Hendrie, Delia; Henok, Andualem; Henry, Nathaniel J.; Herteliu, Claudiu; Heydarpour, Fatemeh; Hibstu, Desalegn T.; Hole, Michael K.; Rad, Enayatollah Homaie; Hoogar, Praveen; Hosgood, H. Dean; Hosseini, Seyed Mostafa; Chavoshi, Meimanat M. Hosseini; Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi; Hostiuc, Mihaela; Hostiuc, Sorin; Hsairi, Mohamed; Hsiao, Thomas; Hu, Guoqing; Huang, John J.; Iburg, Kim Moesgaard; Igumbor, Ehimario U.; Ikeda, Chad Thomas; Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen; Iqbal, Usman; Irenso, Asnake Ararsa; Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi; Isehunwa, Oluwaseyi Oluwakemi; Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Sharifhl; Jahangiry, Leila; Jahanmehr, Nader; Jam, Sudhir Kumar; Jakovljevic, Mihajlo; Jalu, Moti Tolera; James, Spencer L.; Jassal, Simerjot K.; Javanbakht, Mehdi; Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra; Jeemon, Panniyammakal; Jha, Ravi Prakash; Jha, Vivekanand; Ji, John S.; Jonas, Jost B.; Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy; Jungari, Suresh Banayya; Jurisson, Mikk; Kabir, Zubair; Kadel, Rajendra; Kahsay, Amaha; Kalani, Rizwan; Kapil, Umesh; Karami, Manoochehr; Martin, Behead Karami; Karch, Andre; Karema, Corine; Karimi, Seyed M.; Kasacian, Amir; Kassa, Dessalegn H.; Kassa, Getachew Muilu; Kassa, Tesfaye Dessale; Kassa, Zemenu Yohannes; Kassebaum, Nicholas J.; Kastor, Anshul; Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal; Kaul, Anil; Kawakami, Norito; Karyani, Ali Kazemi; Kebede, Seifu; Keiyoro, Peter Njenga; Kemp, Grant Rodgers; Kengne, Andre Pascal; Keren, Andre; Kereselidze, Maia; Khader, Yousef Saleh; Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif; Khajavi, Alireza; Khalid, Nauman; Khalil, Ibrahim A.; Khan, Ejaz Ahmad; Khan, Muhammad Shahzeb; Khang, Young-Ho; Khanna, Tripti; Khater, Mona M.; Khatony, Alireza; Khazaeipour, Zahra; Khazaie, Habibolah; Khoja, Abdullah T.; Khosravi, Ardeshir; Khosravi, Mohammad Hossein; Kibret, Getiye D.; Kidenemariam, Zelalem Teklemariam; Kiirithio, Daniel N.; Kilgore, Paul Evan; Kim, Daniel; Kim, Jun Y.; Kim, Young-Eun; Kim, Yun Jin; Kimokoti, Ruth W.; Kinfu, Yohannes; Kinra, Sanjay; Kisa, Adnan; Kivimaki, Mika; Kochhar, Sonli; Kokubo, Yoshihiro; Kolola, Tufa; Kopec, Jacek A.; Kosek, Margaret N.; Kosen, Soewarta; Koul, Parvaiz A.; Koyanagi, Ai; Krishan, Kewal; Krishnaswami, Sanjay; Krohn, Kristopher J.; Defo, Barthelemy Kuate; Bicer, Burcu Kucuk; Kumar, G. Anil; Kumar, Manasi; Kumar, Pushpendra; Kumsa, Fekede Asefa; Kutz, Michael J.; Lad, Sheetal D.; Lafranconi, Alessandra; Lal, Dharmesh Kumar; Lalloo, Ratilal; Lam, Hilton; Lami, Faris Hasan; Lang, Justin J.; Lansky, Sonia; Lansingh, Van C.; Laryea, Dennis Odai; Lassi, Zohra S.; Latifi, Arman; Laxmaiah, Avula; Lazarus, Jeffrey V.; Lee, James B.; Lee, Paul H.; Leigh, James; Leshargie, Cheru Tesema; Leta, Samson; Levi, Miriam; Li, Shanshan; Li, Xiaohong; Li, Yichong; Liang, Juan; Liang, Xiaofeng; Liben, Misgan Iegesse; Lim, Lee-Ling; Limenih, Miteku Andualem; Linn, Shai; Liu, Shiwei; Lorkowski, Stefan; Lotufo, Paulo A.; Lozano, Rafael; Lunevicius, Raimundas; Mabika, Crispin Mabika; Macarayan, Erlyn Rachelle King; Mackay, Mark T.; Madotto, Fabiana; Mahmood, Tarek Abd Elaziz; Mahotra, Narayan Bahadur; Majdan, Marek; Majdzadeh, Reza; Majeed, Azeem; Malekzadeh, Reza; Malik, Manzoor Ahmad; Mamun, Abdullah A.; Mariano, Wondimu Ayele; Manda, Ana-Laura; Mangalam, Srikanth; Mansournia, Mohammad Ali; Mantovani, Lorenzo Giovanni; Mapoma, Chabila Christopher; Marami, Dadi; Maravilla, Joemer C.; Marcenes, Wagner; Marina, Shakhnazarova; Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlandio; Martz, Winfried; Marzan, Melvin B.; Mashamba-Thompson, Tivani Phosa; Masiye, Felix; Mason-Jones, Amanda J.; Massenburg, Benjamin Ballard; Mathur, Mann Raj; Main, Pallab K.; Mazidi, Mohsen; McGrath, John J.; Mehata, Suresh; Mehendale, Sanjay Madhav; Mehndiratta, Man Mohan; Mehrotra, Ravi; Mehrzadi, Saeed; Mehta, Kala M.; Mehta, Varshil; Mekonnen, Tefera C.; Meles, Hagazi Gebre; Meles, Kidanu Gebremariam; Melese, Addisu; Melku, Mulugeta; Memiah, Peter T. N.; Memish, Ziad A.; Mendoza, Walter; Mengesha, Melkamu Merid; Mengistu, Desalegn Tadese; Mengistu, Getnet; Mensah, George A.; Mereta, Seid Tiku; Meretoja, Atte; Meretoja, Tuomo J.; Mestrovic, Tomislav; Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane; Miangotar, Yode; Miazgowski, Bartosz; Miazgowski, Tomasz; Miller, Ted R.; Miller-Petrie, Molly Katherine; Mini, G. K.; Mirabi, Parvaneh; Mirica, Andreea; Mirrakhimov, Erkin M.; Misganaw, Awoke Temesgen; Moazen, Bahak; Mohammad, Karzan Abduhmuhsin; Mohammadi, Moslem; Mohammadifard, Noushin; Mohanmmdi-Khanaposhtani, Marysm; Mohammed, A. Mohammed; Mohammed, Shafiu; Mokdad, Ali H.; Mola, Glen Dl; Molokhia, Mariam; Monasta, Lorenzo; Montanez, Julio Cesar; Moradi, Ghobad; Moradi, Mahmoudreza; Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar; Moradinazar, Mehdi; Moraga, Paula; Morgado-Da-Costa, Joana; Mori, Rintaro; Morrison, Shane Douglas; Mosapour, Abbas; Moschos, Marilita M.; Mousavi, Seyyed Meysam; Muche, Achenef Asmamaw; Muchie, Kindle Fentahun; Mueller, Ulrich Otto; Mukhopadhyay, Satinath; Murphy, Tasha B.; Muller, Kate; Murthy, G. V. S.; Musa, Jonah; Musa, Kamarul Imran; Mustafa, Ghulam; Muthupandian, Saravanan; Nachega, Jean B.; Nagel, Gabriele; Naghavi, Mohsen; Naheed, Aliya; Nahnjou, Azin; Naik, Gurudatta; Naik, Paulami; Najafi, Farid; Naldi, Luigi; Nangia, Vinay; Nansseu, Jobert Richie; Naschnento, Bruno Ramos; Nawaz, Haseeb; Ncama, Busisiwe P.; Neamati, Nahid; Negoi, Ionut; Negoi, Ruxandra Irina; Neupane, Subas; Newton, Charles Richard James; Ngalesoni, Frida N.; Ngunjiri, Josephine W.; Nguyen, Grant; Long Hoang Nguyen; Trang Huyen Nguyen; Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini; Nirayo, Yirga Legesse; Nisar, Muhammad Miran; Nixon, Molly R.; Nomura, Shuhei; Noroozi, Mehdi; Noubiap, Jean Jacques; Nouri, Hamid Reza; Shiadeh, Malihe Nourollahpour; Nowroozi, Mohammad Reza; Nyandwi, Alypio; Nyasulu, Peter S.; Odell, Christopher M.; Ofori-Asenso, Richard; Ogah, Okechukwu Samuel; Ogbo, Felix Akpojene; Oh, In-Hwan; Okoro, Anselm; Oladimeji, Olanrewaju; Olagunju, Andrew T.; Olagunju, Tinuke O.; Olivares, Pedro R.; Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola; Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun; Ong, Sok King; Ortiz, Alberto; Osgood-Zimmerman, Aaron; Ota, Erika; Otieno, Brenda Achieng; Otstavnov, Stanislav S.; Owolabi, Mayowa Ojo; Oyekale, Abayomi Samuel; Pakhale, Mahesh P. A. Smita; Pakhare, Abhijtt P.; Pana, Adrian; Panda, Basant Kumar; Panda-Jonas, Songhomina; Pandey, Achyut Raj; Park, Eun-Kee; Parsian, Hadi; Patel, Shanti; Patil, Snehal T.; Patle, Ajay; Patton, George C.; Paturi, Vishnupriya Rao; Paudel, Deepak; Pedroso, Marcel Moraes; Peprah, Emmanuel K.; Pereira, David M.; Perico, Norberto; Pesudovs, Konrad; Petri, William A.; Petzold, Max; Pierce, Maxwell; Pigott, David M.; Pillay, Julian David; Pirsaheb, Meghdad; Polanczyk, Guilherme V.; Postma, Maarten J.; Pourmalek, Farshad; Pourshams, Akram; Poustchi, Hossein; Prakash, Swayam; Prasad, Narayan; Purcell, Caroline A.; Purwar, Manorama B.; Qorbani, Mostafa; Quansah, Reginald; Radfar, Arnir; Rafay, Anwar; Rafiei, Alireza; Rahim, Fakher; Rahimi-Movaghar, Afarin; Rahimi-Movaghah, Vafa; Rahman, Mahfuzar; Rahman, Md Shafiur; Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur; Rahman, Muhammad Aziz; Rahman, Sajjad Ur; Rai, Rajesh Kumar; Rajati, Fatemeh; Rajsic, Sasa; Ram, Usha; Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal; Ranjan, Prabhat; Rawaf, David Laith; Rawaf, Salman; Ray, Sarah E.; Razo-Garcia, Christian; Reiner, Robert C.; Reis, Cesar; Remuzzi, Giuseppe; Renzaho, Andre M. N.; Resnikoff, Serge; Rezaei, Satar; Rezaeian, Shahab; Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh; Riahi, Seyed Mohammad; Rios-Blancas, Maria Jesus; Roba, Kedir Teji; Roberts, Nicholas L. S.; Roever, Leonardo; Ronfani, Luca; Roshandel, Gholamreza; Rostami, Ali; Rubagotti, Enrico; Ruhago, George Mugambage; Sabde, Yogesh Damodar; Sachdev, Perminder S.; Saddik, Basema; Moghaddam, Sahar Saeedi; Safari, Hosein; Safari, Yahya; Safari-Faramani, Roya; Safdarian, Mandi; Safi, Sare; Safiri, Saeid; Sagan, Rajesh; Sahebkar, Amirhossein; Sahraian, Mohammad Ali; Sajadi, Haniye Sadat; Salahshoor, Mohamadreza; Salam, Nasir; Salama, Joseph S.; Salamati, Payman; Saldanha, Raphael De Freitas; Sateen, Zikria; Salimi, Yahya; Salimzadeh, Hamideh; Salomon, Joshua A.; Santosh, Sundeep Salvi; Salz, Inbal; Sanibala, Evanson Zondani; Samy, Abdallah M.; Sanabria, Juan; Sanchez-Nino, Maria Dolores; Santos, Itamar S.; Milicevic, Milena M. Santric; Jose, Bruno Piassi Sao; Sardana, Mayank; Sarker, Abdur Razzaque; Sanniento-Suarez, Rodrigo; Saroshe, Satish; Sarrafradegan, Nizal; Sartorius, Berm; Sarvi, Shahabeddin; Sathian, Brijesh; Satpathy, Maheswar; Sawant, Arundhati R.; Sawhney, Monika; Saxena, Sonia; Schaeffner, Elke; Schelonka, Kathryn; Schneider, Ione J. C.; Schwebel, David C.; Schwendicke, Falk; Seedat, Soraya; Sekerija, Mario; Sepanlou, Sadaf G.; Servan-Mori, Edson; Shabaninejad, Hosein; Shackelford, Katya Anne; Shafieesabet, Azadeh; Shaheen, Amira A.; Shaikh, Masood Ali; Shakir, Raad A.; Shams-Beyranvand, Mehran; Shamsi, Mohammadbagher; Sharnsizadeh, Morteza; Sharafi, Heidar; Sharafi, Kiomars; Sharif, Mehdi; Sharif-Alhoseini, Mahdi; Sharma, Jayendra; Sharma, Rajesh; She, Jun; Sheikh, Ariz; Shi, Pailin; Shibuya, Kenji; Shigematsu, Mika; Shiri, Rahman; Shirkoohi, Reza; Shiue, Ivy; Shokraneh, Farhad; Shukla, Sharvari Rahul; Si, Si; Siabani, Soraya; Sibai, Abla Mehio; Siddiqi, Tariq J.; Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora; Sigurvinsdottir, Rannveig; Silpakit, Naris; Silva, Diego Augusto Santos; Silva, Joao Pedro; Silveira, Dayane Gabriele Alves; Singam, Narayana Sarma Venkata; Singh, Jasvinder A.; Singh, Narinder Pal; Singh, Virendra; Sinha, Dhirendra Narain; Sliwa, Karen; Soares Filho, Adauto Martins; Sobaih, Badr Hasan; Sobhani, Soheila; Soofi, Moslem; Soriano, Joan B.; Soyiri, Ineneous N.; Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T.; Starodubov, Vladimir I.; Steiner, Cartlyn; Stewart, Leo G.; Stokes, Mark A.; Strong, Mark; Subart, Michelle L.; Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale; Sulo, Gerhard; Sunguya, Bruno F.; Sur, Patrick John; Sutradhar, Ipsita; Sykes, Bryan L.; Sylaja, P. N.; Sylte, Dillon O.; Szoeke, Cassandra E. I.; Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael; Tabb, Karen M.; Tadakamadla, Santos Kumar; Tandon, Nikhil; Tassew, Aberash Abay; Tassew, Segen Gebremeskel; Taveira, Nuno; Tawye, Nega Yimer; Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash; Tekalign, Tigist Gashaw; Tekle, Merhawi Gebremedhin; Temsah, Mohamad-Hani; Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman; Teshale, Manaye Yihune; Tessema, Belay; Teweldemedhin, Mebrahtu; Thakur, Jarnail Singh; Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman; Thirunavukkarasu, Sathish; Thomas, Nihal; Thomson, Alan J.; Tilahun, Binyam; To, Quyen G.; Tonelli, Marcello; Topor-Madry, Roman; Torre, Anna E.; Tortajada-Girbes, Miguel; Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto; Toyoshima, Hideaki; Bach Xuan Tran; Khan Bao Tran; Tripathy, Srikanth Prasad; Truelsen, Thomas Clement; Nu Thi Truong; Tsadik, Afewerki Gebremeskel; Tsegay, Amanuel; Tsilimparis, Nikolaos; Car, Lorainne Tudor; Ukwaja, Kingsley N.; Ullah, Irfan; Usman, Muhammad Shariq; Uthman, Olalekan A.; Uzun, Selen Begum; Vaduganathan, Muthiah; Vaezi, Afsane; Vaidya, Gaurang; Valdez, Pascual R.; Varavikova, Elena; Varughese, Santosh; Vasankari, Tommi Juhani; Vasconcelos, Ana Maria Nogales; Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy; Villafaina, Santos; Violante, Francesco S.; Vladimirov, Sergey Konstantinovitch; Vlassov, Vasily; Vollset, Stein Emil; Vos, Theo; Vosoughi, Kia; Vujcic, Isidora S.; Wagnew, Fasil Shiferaw; Waheed, Yasir; Walson, Judd L.; Wang, Yanping; Wang, Yuan-Pang; Weiderpass, Elisabete; Weintraub, Robert G.; Weldegwergs, Kidu Gidey; Werdecker, Andrea; Westerman, Ronny; Whiteford, Harvey; Widecka, Justyna; Widecka, Katarzyna; Wijeratne, Tissa; Winkler, Andrea Sylvia; Wiysonge, Charles Shey; Wolfe, Charles D. A.; Wu, Shouling; Wyper, Grant M. A.; Xu, Gelin; Yamada, Tomohide; Yano, Yuichiro; Yaseri, Mehdi; Yasin, Yasin Jemal; Ye, Pengpeng; Yentur, Gokalp Kadri; Yeshaneh, Alex; Yimer, Ebrahim M.; Yip, Paul; Yisma, Engida; Yonemoto, Naohiro; Yoon, Seok-Jun; Yotebieng, Marcel; Younis, Mustafa Z.; Yousefifard, Mahmoud; Yu, Chuanhua; Zadnik, Vesna; Zaidi, Zoubida; Bin Zaman, Sojib; Zamani, Mohammad; Zare, Zohreh; Zeleke, Mulugeta Mona; Zenebe, Zerihun Menlkalew; Zerfu, Taddese Alemu; Zhang, Xueying; Zhao, Xiu-Ju; Zhou, Maigeng; Zhu, Jun; Zimsen, Stephanie R. M.; Zodpey, Sanjay; Zoeckler, Leo; Lopez, Alan D.; Lim, Stephen S. |
| Contributors: |
Choi, Jee-Young J.; Khang, Young-Ho |
| Publisher Information: |
The Lancet Publishing Group |
| Publication Year: |
2019 |
| Collection: |
Seoul National University: S-Space |
| Subject Terms: |
HEALTH; PROJECTIONS; AFRICA; CONSEQUENCES; MORTALITY; POLICIES; BIRTH |
| Description: |
Background Population estimates underpin demographic and epidemiological research and are used to track progress on numerous international indicators of health and development. To date, internationally available estimates of population and fertility, although useful, have not been produced with transparent and replicable methods and do not use standardised estimates of mortality. We present single-calendar year and single-year of age estimates of fertility and population by sex with standardised and replicable methods. Methods We estimated population in 195 locations by single year of age and single calendar year from 1950 to 2017 with standardised and replicable methods. We based the estimates on the demographic balancing equation, with inputs of fertility, mortality, population, and migration data. Fertility data came from 7817 location-years of vital registration data, 429 surveys reporting complete birth histories, and 977 surveys and censuses reporting summary birth histories. We estimated age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs; the annual number of livebirths to women of a specified age group per 1000 women in that age group) by use of spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression and used the ASFRs to estimate total fertility rates (TFRs; the average number of children a woman would bear if she survived through the end of the reproductive age span [age 10-54 years] and experienced at each age a particular set of ASFRs observed in the year of interest). Because of sparse data, fertility at ages 10-14 years and 50-54 years was estimated from data on fertility in women aged 15-19 years and 45-49 years, through use of linear regression. Age-specific mortality data came from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 estimates. Data on population came from 1257 censuses and 761 population registry location-years and were adjusted for underenumeration and age misreporting with standard demographic methods. Migration was estimated with the GBD Bayesian demographic balancing model, after ... |
| Document Type: |
article in journal/newspaper |
| Language: |
unknown |
| Relation: |
https://hdl.handle.net/10371/219701; 000449710900008; 83784 |
| DOI: |
10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32278-5 |
| Availability: |
https://hdl.handle.net/10371/219701; https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32278-5 |
| Accession Number: |
edsbas.FD3DBA72 |
| Database: |
BASE |