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Citizen’s perceived legitimacy of the Dutch natural gas-free heating policy

Title: Citizen’s perceived legitimacy of the Dutch natural gas-free heating policy
Authors: Astrid Martens; Jarry T Porsius; Caren Herbstritt; Kees Vringer
Source: Environmental Research Communications, Vol 7, Iss 11, p 115018 (2025)
Publisher Information: IOP Publishing, 2025.
Publication Year: 2025
Collection: LCC:Environmental sciences; LCC:Meteorology. Climatology
Subject Terms: policy legitimacy; broad policy evaluation; energy transition; built environment; Environmental sciences; GE1-350; Meteorology. Climatology; QC851-999
Description: The Dutch Climate Agreement mandates sustainable heating of buildings by 2050, necessitating a transition away from natural gas towards electrification (heat pumps) and district heating. Dutch municipalities play a key role in this transition policy, as they develop and coordinate neighborhood-specific plans to implement sustainable heating solutions. Understanding how citizens perceive local policy plans can help policymakers to make choices in line with what citizens find important. This study aims to examine the perceived legitimacy of the Dutch heating transition policy as it concerns becoming natural gas-free. The first step in our analysis involved identifying key factors that may affect the perceived legitimacy of the policy in question. Subsequently, we tested the effects of these factors in a questionnaire and vignette study among Dutch citizens (n = 2,034). We found that citizens acknowledge and support the importance of addressing climate change (76%) and reducing energy dependence (88%). However, 39% does not feel represented by local council members. Moreover, the vignette experiment showed that collectively sharing transitioning costs, public ownership, price certainty, and communicating uncertainties would make policy more legitimate. Furthermore, participants value the right to opt out of district heating introduced by municipalities, even if this results in higher collective costs. When policy choices in vignettes were aligned with citizen preferences, a majority found presented plans acceptable and expressed no intention to protest. Conversely, vignettes misaligned with citizen preferences resulted in rejection and increased likelihood of protest. Since Dutch citizens are not obliged to comply with municipal plans, securing their acceptance and support is critical. Therefore, it is essential for municipalities to understand and carefully consider citizen preferences when designing local plans.
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 2515-7620
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2515-7620
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ae1a31
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/8bbe04a8d62049a2bcd8d8049fead1ec
Accession Number: edsdoj.8bbe04a8d62049a2bcd8d8049fead1ec
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals